Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:24:04

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.2/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
5.8/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 47.5/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 27.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,313
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,896.22
Current Value
$13,009.64
Period P&L
$1,113.41
Max Drawdown
-6.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+5.25%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
+1.90%
Avg Hold Time
8.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$125,888.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,113.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,113.41
Gross Return
+9.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,896.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 9:30am ET $92.99 127 $11,809.10
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 10:00am ET $97.84 127 $12,425.68 $12,512.82 +$616.59
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 9:30am ET $98.45 127 $12,503.15
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 12:15pm ET $95.49 127 $12,126.60 $12,136.26 $-376.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $117.84 102 $12,020.08
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $123.83 102 $12,631.17 $12,747.35 +$611.09
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $122.10 104 $12,697.88
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $128.50 104 $13,364.00 $13,413.47 +$666.12
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET $123.68 108 $13,357.44
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:55am ET $119.94 108 $12,953.61 $13,009.64 $-403.83
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,009.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,009.64
Total Return: +30.10%
Back to Danny Dip