Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:03:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
25.3 oversold
20d Trend
-38.3%
5d Trend
-38.9%
EMA20 Dist
-40.8%
ATR%
15.6%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.8/10
Raw Quality 1.8/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 1.7

30-Day Momentum

29
+7.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.1 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,778
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$228.39
Current Value
$248.68
Period P&L
$5.46
Max Drawdown
-97.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+5.93%
Worst Trade
-3.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.55%
Avg Hold Time
21.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$8,794.31
Estimated Fees
$21.99
Gross P&L
$5.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-16.52
Gross Return
+2.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.23%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $228.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 4:20pm ET $8.44 28 $234.63
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $8.10 28 $225.27 $224.12 $-10.51
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $7.79 29 $224.12
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $8.23 29 $236.96 $235.80 +$11.69
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:40pm ET $8.20 29 $235.80
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $8.61 29 $247.65 $246.45 +$10.64
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $8.34 30 $246.45
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 8:10am ET $8.76 30 $258.86 $257.59 +$11.15
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $9.12 28 $257.59
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 5:15am ET $8.82 28 $249.03 $247.77 $-9.82
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $8.51 29 $247.77
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 12:25am ET $8.21 29 $239.04 $239.04 $-9.95
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:45pm ET $9.42 25 $239.04
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $9.12 25 $231.43 $231.43 $-8.79
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:40am ET $8.60 27 $231.43
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $9.11 27 $245.15 $245.15 +$12.53
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 8, 2026 6:00pm ET $8.72 28 $245.15
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:40am ET $9.18 28 $258.08 $258.08 +$11.67
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $9.65 27 $258.08
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 8:45am ET $10.15 27 $271.45 $271.45 +$12.05
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:50am ET $9.89 27 $271.45
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2026 2:35am ET $9.59 27 $263.22 $263.22 $-9.57
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 8:00am ET $9.91 27 $263.22
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:50am ET $9.60 27 $254.99 $254.99 $-9.53
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 7:55pm ET $9.22 28 $254.99
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 5:15pm ET $8.93 28 $246.97 $246.97 $-9.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $9.37 26 $246.97
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $9.06 26 $238.80 $238.80 $-9.39
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:35pm ET $8.89 27 $238.80
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $8.62 27 $231.55 $231.55 $-8.43
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 7:05pm ET $8.98 26 $231.55
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:55pm ET $8.70 26 $224.33 $224.33 $-8.36
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2026 9:50pm ET $9.04 25 $224.33
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 6:20pm ET $9.50 25 $235.75 $235.75 +$10.26
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $9.30 25 $235.75
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $9.81 25 $248.68 $248.68 +$11.72
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $248.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,751.32
Total Return: -97.51%
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