Compendium › Danny Dip › BLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 3 trades in period

+1.85%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,961.05
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$14,689.57
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:49:04

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.1/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
7.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 54.8/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 40.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,875
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,689.57
Current Value
$14,961.05
Period P&L
$271.48
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.00%
Worst Trade
-3.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.64%
Avg Hold Time
12d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$84,099.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$271.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$271.48
Gross Return
+1.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,689.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $956.54 15 $14,348.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $956.04 15 $14,340.64 $14,682.11 $-7.46
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:55am ET $1,052.48 13 $13,682.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET $1,020.50 13 $13,266.50 $14,266.37 $-415.74
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $991.68 14 $13,883.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:25am ET $1,041.30 14 $14,578.20 $14,961.05 +$694.68
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,961.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,961.05
Total Return: +49.61%
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