Compendium › Danny Dip › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 23 trades in period

-10.57%
Last 3 Months Return
$773.63
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$799.48
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:24:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

31
+8.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.0 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,808
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$799.48
Current Value
$773.63
Period P&L
$-84.48
Max Drawdown
-94.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
9 / 14
Best Trade
+6.76%
Worst Trade
-7.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
18.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$34,842.85
Estimated Fees
$87.11
Gross P&L
$-84.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-171.59
Gross Return
-10.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-21.46%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $799.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $0.0890 9,129 $812.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.0824 9,129 $751.89 $747.98 $-64.35
(-7.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $0.0816 9,163 $747.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.0872 9,163 $798.56 $794.69 +$46.71
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:40pm ET $0.0870 9,137 $794.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:10am ET $0.0916 9,137 $836.72 $832.64 +$37.95
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $0.0906 9,195 $832.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 8:40am ET $0.0951 9,195 $874.67 $870.40 +$37.75
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $0.0984 8,849 $870.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 2:15am ET $0.0952 8,849 $842.17 $837.89 $-32.51
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 2:20am ET $0.0956 8,766 $837.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 5:40am ET $0.0926 8,766 $811.45 $807.33 $-30.56
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $0.1002 8,054 $807.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 12:25am ET $0.0971 8,054 $781.73 $781.73 $-29.57
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $0.0990 7,900 $781.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 22, 2026 8:50am ET $0.0958 7,900 $756.48 $756.48 $-29.09
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $0.0921 8,214 $756.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 6:20am ET $0.0971 8,214 $797.51 $797.51 +$37.15
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:20pm ET $0.1018 7,834 $797.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 6:10am ET $0.0986 7,834 $772.31 $772.31 $-29.12
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:55am ET $0.0957 8,074 $772.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 5:25pm ET $0.0927 8,074 $748.72 $748.72 $-27.40
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET $0.0899 8,326 $748.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $0.0945 8,326 $786.74 $786.74 +$34.18
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 5:45pm ET $0.0996 7,900 $786.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30pm ET $0.0963 7,900 $760.52 $760.52 $-30.09
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $0.0903 8,422 $760.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 8, 2026 6:00pm ET $0.0869 8,422 $732.20 $732.20 $-32.05
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $0.0962 7,608 $732.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:10pm ET $0.0933 7,608 $709.71 $709.71 $-26.10
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET $0.0978 7,254 $709.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2026 2:30am ET $0.0948 7,254 $687.30 $687.30 $-25.90
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $0.0999 6,877 $687.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 7:45am ET $0.0969 6,877 $666.54 $666.54 $-24.14
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 7:50am ET $0.0968 6,886 $666.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $0.0939 6,886 $646.42 $646.42 $-23.40
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET $0.0905 7,143 $646.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET $0.0954 7,143 $681.24 $681.23 +$31.49
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET $0.0883 7,718 $681.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 29, 2026 10:50pm ET $0.0928 7,718 $715.98 $715.98 +$31.26
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $0.0946 7,570 $715.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $0.0994 7,570 $752.35 $752.35 +$32.70
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 8:15am ET $0.1065 7,063 $752.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $0.1033 7,063 $729.50 $729.50 $-26.55
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $0.1021 7,146 $729.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 8:55pm ET $0.1083 7,146 $773.63 $773.63 +$40.37
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $773.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,226.37
Total Return: -92.26%
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