Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:23:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,812
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$2,551.82
Current Value
$2,869.96
Period P&L
$169.75
Max Drawdown
-77.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
8 / 9
Best Trade
+5.22%
Worst Trade
-3.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
21.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$90,338.90
Estimated Fees
$225.85
Gross P&L
$169.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-56.10
Gross Return
+6.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.20%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $2,551.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $1,870.71 1 $2,637.38
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:00pm ET $1,810.06 1 $2,551.87 $2,538.90 $-98.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $1,817.70 1 $2,538.90
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $1,748.40 1 $2,442.10 $2,429.65 $-109.25
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET $1,775.22 1 $2,429.65
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $1,864.94 1 $2,552.45 $2,539.99 +$110.34
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:55am ET $1,906.30 1 $2,539.99
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:15am ET $2,005.08 1 $2,671.61 $2,658.58 +$118.59
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET $2,013.26 1 $2,658.58
🔴 SELL Feb 8, 2026 3:30am ET $2,117.73 1 $2,796.53 $2,782.89 +$124.31
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:50am ET $1,998.40 1 $2,782.89
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 5:05am ET $1,937.78 1 $2,698.48 $2,698.48 $-98.11
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $1,870.50 1 $2,698.48
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 8:35am ET $1,809.69 1 $2,610.75 $2,610.75 $-101.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:45pm ET $2,042.49 1 $2,610.75
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 5:55am ET $1,980.76 1 $2,531.85 $2,531.85 $-91.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:40am ET $1,857.50 1 $2,531.85
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $1,954.46 1 $2,664.01 $2,664.01 +$119.17
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,912.57 1 $2,664.01
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET $2,011.47 1 $2,801.77 $2,801.77 +$124.09
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $1,993.71 1 $2,801.77
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2026 11:50pm ET $1,933.24 1 $2,716.79 $2,716.79 $-98.78
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:50am ET $2,133.53 1 $2,716.79
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2026 5:45am ET $2,066.87 1 $2,631.91 $2,631.91 $-98.26
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 8:30am ET $2,243.52 1 $2,631.91
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $2,175.57 1 $2,552.19 $2,552.19 $-92.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 7:55pm ET $2,085.46 1 $2,552.19
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 7:25am ET $2,190.00 1 $2,680.13 $2,680.13 +$114.86
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET $1,938.90 1 $2,680.13
🔴 SELL Mar 29, 2026 10:50pm ET $2,036.71 1 $2,815.33 $2,815.33 +$121.46
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:45pm ET $2,090.98 1 $2,815.33
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 8:05am ET $2,027.81 1 $2,730.28 $2,730.28 $-98.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2026 9:50pm ET $2,211.84 1 $2,730.28
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 6:20pm ET $2,325.00 1 $2,869.96 $2,869.96 +$125.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,869.96
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,130.04
Total Return: -71.30%
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