Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:25:16

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 35.6/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 28.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,871
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,331.60
Current Value
$13,788.93
Period P&L
$3,457.33
Max Drawdown
-18.8%
Sharpe Ratio
4.86

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
6 / 0
Best Trade
+8.41%
Worst Trade
+5.08%
Avg Trade Return
+5.92%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$134,148.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,457.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,457.33
Gross Return
+33.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+33.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,331.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET $799.00 12 $9,588.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET $839.59 12 $10,075.08 $10,428.92 +$487.08
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $835.00 12 $10,020.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $905.24 12 $10,862.88 $11,271.80 +$842.88
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $874.20 12 $10,490.35
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $919.58 12 $11,034.96 $11,816.41 +$544.61
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $944.19 12 $11,330.28
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $993.72 12 $11,924.64 $12,410.77 +$594.36
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $1,038.00 11 $11,418.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,090.84 11 $11,999.24 $12,992.01 +$581.24
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $1,025.36 12 $12,304.32
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,091.77 12 $13,101.24 $13,788.93 +$796.92
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,788.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,788.93
Total Return: +37.89%
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