Compendium › Danny Dip › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 6 trades in period

-3.17%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,242.86
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$12,643.20
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.1/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 37.3/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 27.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,643.20
Current Value
$12,242.86
Period P&L
$-400.34
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+5.40%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.47%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$146,339.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-400.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-400.34
Gross Return
-3.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,643.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $283.36 44 $12,467.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $274.79 44 $12,090.76 $12,266.12 $-377.08
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:20am ET $249.75 49 $12,237.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $240.47 49 $11,783.03 $11,811.39 $-454.73
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $235.97 50 $11,798.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET $248.72 50 $12,436.00 $12,448.89 +$637.50
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $247.67 50 $12,383.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET $239.40 50 $11,970.00 $12,035.39 $-413.50
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $235.65 51 $12,017.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $247.49 51 $12,621.99 $12,639.49 +$604.10
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 54 $12,464.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $223.48 54 $12,067.65 $12,242.86 $-396.63
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,242.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,242.86
Total Return: +22.43%
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