Compendium › Danny Dip › MARA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MARA
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 29 trades in period

-7.24%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,436.40
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$10,173.45
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 18:25:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.4

30-Day Momentum

30
+6.2%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.9 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,173.45
Current Value
$9,436.40
Period P&L
$-737.00
Max Drawdown
-46.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
10 / 19
Best Trade
+9.76%
Worst Trade
-5.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
17.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$531,910.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-737.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-737.00
Gross Return
-7.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,173.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $7.82 1,300 $10,172.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $8.30 1,300 $10,783.50 $10,784.40 +$611.00
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $7.89 1,367 $10,778.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $7.46 1,367 $10,197.68 $10,203.29 $-581.11
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $7.68 1,329 $10,200.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $7.43 1,329 $9,874.47 $9,877.68 $-325.61
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:20am ET $8.03 1,230 $9,876.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $7.78 1,230 $9,569.40 $9,570.18 $-307.50
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $7.64 1,253 $9,566.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $8.06 1,253 $10,094.80 $10,098.32 +$528.14
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $8.42 1,199 $10,097.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $8.15 1,199 $9,765.86 $9,766.20 $-332.12
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $9.14 1,068 $9,761.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $8.60 1,068 $9,190.14 $9,194.93 $-571.27
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $9.03 1,018 $9,192.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $8.66 1,018 $8,815.88 $8,818.27 $-376.66
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET $9.16 962 $8,811.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET $8.89 962 $8,547.37 $8,553.72 $-264.55
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $8.35 1,024 $8,550.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $8.09 1,024 $8,284.16 $8,287.48 $-266.24
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:15am ET $8.45 980 $8,285.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.28 980 $9,094.40 $9,095.98 +$808.50
(+9.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $9.24 984 $9,092.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $8.94 984 $8,796.96 $8,800.78 $-295.20
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $8.95 982 $8,793.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $8.66 982 $8,509.03 $8,516.00 $-284.78
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $8.69 979 $8,507.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET $8.40 979 $8,223.50 $8,231.99 $-284.01
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $8.22 1,001 $8,228.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $8.97 1,001 $8,981.47 $8,985.24 +$753.25
(+9.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $8.29 1,083 $8,978.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 1,083 $8,664.00 $8,671.17 $-314.07
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $7.92 1,094 $8,667.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $7.66 1,094 $8,380.92 $8,384.65 $-286.52
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $7.79 1,076 $8,382.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $8.26 1,076 $8,882.38 $8,884.99 +$500.34
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $8.67 1,024 $8,878.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $8.39 1,024 $8,591.26 $8,598.17 $-286.82
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $9.43 911 $8,590.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $9.92 911 $9,035.30 $9,042.74 +$444.57
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $9.40 961 $9,033.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET $9.95 961 $9,562.91 $9,572.16 +$529.42
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.71 817 $9,567.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.30 817 $9,235.12 $9,240.21 $-331.95
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $11.35 814 $9,238.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $11.92 814 $9,702.88 $9,704.35 +$464.14
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $11.78 823 $9,698.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $11.41 823 $9,394.54 $9,399.92 $-304.43
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $11.18 840 $9,391.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 840 $9,046.80 $9,055.60 $-344.32
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $10.65 850 $9,052.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:10am ET $10.31 850 $8,759.25 $8,762.35 $-293.25
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:35am ET $11.38 769 $8,751.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:20am ET $11.99 769 $9,224.15 $9,235.21 +$472.86
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
45m held
28 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:55am ET $11.80 782 $9,227.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $11.44 782 $8,949.99 $8,957.60 $-277.61
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
29 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $12.43 720 $8,949.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $13.10 720 $9,428.40 $9,436.40 +$478.80
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,436.40
Net Profit/Loss: $-563.60
Total Return: -5.64%
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