Compendium › Danny Dip › MRK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRK
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 4 trades in period

+3.61%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,987.36
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,604.22
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:28:49

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 19.8/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 15.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,604.22
Current Value
$10,987.36
Period P&L
$383.15
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+5.06%
Worst Trade
-3.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.97%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$87,632.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$383.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$383.15
Gross Return
+3.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,604.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $117.14 90 $10,542.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $123.01 90 $11,070.90 $11,132.51 +$528.30
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $113.75 97 $11,033.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $110.22 97 $10,691.82 $10,791.07 $-341.44
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:05am ET $115.68 93 $10,758.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $121.54 93 $11,302.92 $11,335.75 +$544.68
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $115.21 98 $11,290.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:15am ET $111.65 98 $10,942.19 $10,987.36 $-348.39
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,987.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$987.36
Total Return: +9.87%
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