Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:20:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.6

30-Day Momentum

34
+10.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.9 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,848
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,377.58
Current Value
$7,341.87
Period P&L
$964.30
Max Drawdown
-66.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+6.16%
Worst Trade
-3.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.84%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$249,498.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$964.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$964.30
Gross Return
+15.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $6,377.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $43.83 145 $6,354.65
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $42.31 145 $6,134.95 $6,157.87 $-219.70
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $43.56 141 $6,141.26
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:25am ET $42.20 141 $5,950.20 $5,966.82 $-191.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:55am ET $46.18 129 $5,957.22
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 1:30pm ET $48.49 129 $6,255.21 $6,264.81 +$297.99
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:20am ET $52.02 120 $6,242.40
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:55am ET $50.33 120 $6,040.20 $6,062.61 $-202.20
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:40am ET $51.70 117 $6,048.90
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $54.35 117 $6,358.95 $6,372.66 +$310.05
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:20am ET $53.56 118 $6,320.08
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $56.47 118 $6,664.05 $6,716.63 +$343.97
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $52.38 128 $6,704.64
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:40am ET $50.76 128 $6,497.56 $6,509.55 $-207.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET $53.19 122 $6,489.22
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $56.35 122 $6,874.70 $6,895.03 +$385.48
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET $53.98 127 $6,855.61
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $52.34 127 $6,647.18 $6,686.60 $-208.43
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $53.91 124 $6,684.84
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $52.06 124 $6,455.44 $6,457.20 $-229.40
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.60 127 $6,426.20
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:45am ET $53.15 127 $6,749.42 $6,780.42 +$323.22
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:20am ET $51.92 130 $6,749.60
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $50.17 130 $6,522.10 $6,552.92 $-227.50
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $48.14 136 $6,547.42
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:30pm ET $50.59 136 $6,880.24 $6,885.74 +$332.82
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $50.01 137 $6,851.36
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $48.11 137 $6,591.34 $6,625.73 $-260.01
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $50.64 130 $6,583.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $53.76 130 $6,988.80 $7,031.33 +$405.60
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $53.68 130 $6,978.40
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $51.96 130 $6,754.98 $6,807.91 $-223.42
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET $49.19 138 $6,788.91
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $47.70 138 $6,582.90 $6,601.90 $-206.01
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET $45.15 146 $6,591.17
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET $47.74 146 $6,970.04 $6,980.77 +$378.87
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
19 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $44.28 157 $6,951.96
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $46.58 157 $7,313.06 $7,341.87 +$361.10
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,341.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,658.13
Total Return: -26.58%
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