Compendium › Danny Dip › NFLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NFLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 3 trades in period

-9.30%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,768.23
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$12,975.29
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 07:56:26

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 22.2/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 18.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,975.29
Current Value
$11,768.23
Period P&L
$-1,207.06
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-18.47

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-3.04%
Worst Trade
-3.45%
Avg Trade Return
-3.21%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$73,906.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,207.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,207.06
Gross Return
-9.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,975.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $96.05 135 $12,967.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $93.03 135 $12,558.38 $12,566.64 $-408.65
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $83.49 150 $12,523.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $80.61 150 $12,091.50 $12,134.66 $-431.98
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $78.86 153 $12,066.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $76.47 153 $11,699.91 $11,768.23 $-366.43
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,768.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,768.23
Total Return: +17.68%
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