Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

25
+6.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.2 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,848
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,399.69
Current Value
$8,417.87
Period P&L
$18.16
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+5.39%
Worst Trade
-8.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$123,629.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$18.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$18.16
Gross Return
+0.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,399.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $161.73 51 $8,248.23
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $148.51 51 $7,573.76 $7,725.24 $-674.47
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $152.45 50 $7,622.25
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $147.64 50 $7,382.00 $7,484.99 $-240.25
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $144.78 51 $7,383.78
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:40am ET $152.16 51 $7,760.16 $7,861.37 +$376.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET $165.31 47 $7,769.66
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $158.08 47 $7,429.76 $7,521.47 $-339.90
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.33 51 $7,513.83
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $155.27 51 $7,918.77 $7,926.41 +$404.94
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $168.37 47 $7,913.39
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $161.76 47 $7,602.49 $7,615.51 $-310.90
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $173.73 43 $7,470.39
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $182.50 43 $7,847.50 $7,992.62 +$377.11
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $175.20 45 $7,884.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $184.65 45 $8,309.25 $8,417.87 +$425.25
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,417.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,582.13
Total Return: -15.82%
Back to Danny Dip