PEPEUSD Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 39 trades in period
+10.48%
Last 3 Months Return
$810.48
Current Value
49%
Win Rate
$630.66
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality
3.3/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 3.2
30-Day Momentum
64
+18.2%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.3
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+61 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,815
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$630.66
Current Value
$810.48
Period P&L
$66.11
Max Drawdown
-99.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
19 /
20
Best Trade
+7.23%
Worst Trade
-6.43%
Avg Trade Return
+0.81%
Avg Hold Time
17.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$53,066.99
Estimated Fees
$132.67
Gross P&L
$66.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-66.56
Gross Return
+10.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.55%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $630.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:55pm ET | $0.00000342 | 184,405,449 | $630.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $0.00000320 | 184,405,449 | $590.10 | $587.05 |
$-43.62 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $0.00000309 | 189,982,371 | $587.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET | $0.00000325 | 189,982,371 | $617.44 | $614.43 |
+$27.39 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:25pm ET | $0.00000326 | 188,475,916 | $614.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:50pm ET | $0.00000345 | 188,475,916 | $650.24 | $647.08 |
+$32.65 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET | $0.00000362 | 178,751,443 | $647.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.00000383 | 178,751,443 | $684.62 | $681.29 |
+$34.21 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $0.00000385 | 176,958,125 | $681.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 4:35pm ET | $0.00000372 | 176,958,125 | $658.28 | $654.94 |
$-26.35 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 8:40am ET | $0.00000406 | 161,315,271 | $654.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $0.00000429 | 161,315,271 | $692.04 | $692.04 |
+$33.74 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.00000422 | 163,990,521 | $692.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2026 9:45pm ET | $0.00000409 | 163,990,521 | $670.72 | $670.72 |
$-24.73 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET | $0.00000389 | 172,421,594 | $670.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 6:20am ET | $0.00000410 | 172,421,594 | $706.93 | $706.93 |
+$32.76 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 5:40pm ET | $0.00000426 | 165,946,009 | $706.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 6:40pm ET | $0.00000412 | 165,946,009 | $683.70 | $683.70 |
$-26.71 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:45pm ET | $0.00000408 | 167,573,529 | $683.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 6:20am ET | $0.00000395 | 167,573,529 | $661.92 | $661.92 |
$-25.15 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $0.00000382 | 173,277,487 | $661.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 8:30am ET | $0.00000369 | 173,277,487 | $639.39 | $639.39 |
$-25.78 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET | $0.00000351 | 182,162,393 | $639.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 8:50pm ET | $0.00000369 | 182,162,393 | $672.18 | $672.18 |
+$29.51 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 11:20pm ET | $0.00000365 | 184,158,904 | $672.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2026 6:45am ET | $0.00000354 | 184,158,904 | $651.92 | $651.92 |
$-23.57 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $0.00000338 | 192,875,740 | $651.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $0.00000355 | 192,875,740 | $684.71 | $684.71 |
+$29.45 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $0.00000358 | 191,259,777 | $684.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:25pm ET | $0.00000347 | 191,259,777 | $663.67 | $663.67 |
$-24.41 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:15am ET | $0.00000344 | 192,927,326 | $663.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 8:45am ET | $0.00000362 | 192,927,326 | $698.40 | $698.40 |
+$31.32 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.00000342 | 204,210,526 | $698.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2026 9:05am ET | $0.00000328 | 204,210,526 | $669.81 | $669.81 |
$-32.01 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $0.00000334 | 200,542,074 | $669.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.00000351 | 200,542,074 | $703.90 | $703.90 |
+$30.66 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $0.00000341 | 206,423,073 | $703.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 5:45pm ET | $0.00000329 | 206,423,073 | $679.13 | $679.13 |
$-28.23 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $0.00000350 | 194,037,689 | $679.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:00pm ET | $0.00000338 | 194,037,689 | $655.85 | $655.85 |
$-26.62 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 4:55am ET | $0.00000391 | 167,735,905 | $655.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:10am ET | $0.00000411 | 167,735,905 | $689.39 | $689.39 |
+$30.18 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $0.00000397 | 173,651,025 | $689.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:30am ET | $0.00000385 | 173,651,025 | $668.56 | $668.56 |
$-24.23 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:00am ET | $0.00000382 | 175,014,776 | $668.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 8:15am ET | $0.00000370 | 175,014,776 | $647.55 | $647.55 |
$-24.29 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:15am ET | $0.00000367 | 176,445,415 | $647.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 8:30am ET | $0.00000353 | 176,445,415 | $622.85 | $622.85 |
$-27.88 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 8:35am ET | $0.00000355 | 175,451,356 | $622.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 12:20pm ET | $0.00000344 | 175,451,356 | $603.55 | $603.55 |
$-22.37 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 21, 2026 7:50pm ET | $0.00000332 | 181,792,971 | $603.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.00000356 | 181,792,971 | $647.18 | $647.18 |
+$40.50 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $0.00000345 | 187,588,406 | $647.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 6:40am ET | $0.00000330 | 187,588,406 | $619.04 | $619.04 |
$-31.30 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET | $0.00000318 | 194,666,667 | $619.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 29, 2026 8:20pm ET | $0.00000335 | 194,666,667 | $652.13 | $652.13 |
+$29.92 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:45pm ET | $0.00000332 | 196,424,699 | $652.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2026 4:35am ET | $0.00000349 | 196,424,699 | $685.52 | $685.52 |
+$30.05 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 7:00pm ET | $0.00000333 | 205,861,862 | $685.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 4:20pm ET | $0.00000350 | 205,861,862 | $720.52 | $720.52 |
+$31.48 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 8:45pm ET | $0.00000366 | 196,863,388 | $720.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $0.00000355 | 196,863,388 | $698.87 | $698.87 |
$-25.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 7:15pm ET | $0.00000354 | 197,420,904 | $698.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $0.00000373 | 197,420,904 | $736.38 | $736.38 |
+$33.92 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2026 4:35pm ET | $0.00000371 | 198,485,175 | $736.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2026 9:45pm ET | $0.00000355 | 198,485,175 | $704.62 | $704.62 |
$-35.36 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2026 9:50pm ET | $0.00000351 | 200,746,439 | $704.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 6:20pm ET | $0.00000370 | 200,746,439 | $742.76 | $742.76 |
+$34.52 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:10am ET | $0.00000389 | 190,940,874 | $742.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 6:15am ET | $0.00000377 | 190,940,874 | $719.85 | $719.85 |
$-26.57 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $0.00000374 | 192,473,262 | $719.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $0.00000393 | 192,473,262 | $756.42 | $756.42 |
+$32.88 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:20am ET | $0.00000388 | 194,953,608 | $756.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 6:10am ET | $0.00000410 | 194,953,608 | $799.31 | $799.31 |
+$39.00 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 8:15am ET | $0.00000401 | 199,329,177 | $799.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $0.00000387 | 199,329,177 | $771.40 | $771.40 |
$-31.83 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET | $0.00000375 | 205,706,667 | $771.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 5:55am ET | $0.00000394 | 205,706,667 | $810.48 | $810.48 |
+$35.13 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$810.48
Net Profit/Loss:
$-9,189.52
Total Return:
-91.90%