Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:24:53

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

64
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.7/35
Total Return
20.7/25
Win Rate
3.3/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 64.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 64.1

30-Day Momentum

2
-7.9%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-62 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,871
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$45,737.02
Current Value
$40,978.11
Period P&L
$-4,758.89
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+5.74%
Worst Trade
-3.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,340,245.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,758.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,758.89
Gross Return
-10.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $45,737.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $149.38 290 $43,320.20
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET $157.73 290 $45,741.70 $45,801.15 +$2,421.50
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET $155.92 293 $45,684.56
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.21 293 $44,011.53 $44,128.12 $-1,673.03
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $142.74 309 $44,106.66
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $138.35 309 $42,750.15 $42,771.61 $-1,356.51
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $141.76 301 $42,669.79
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $149.90 301 $45,119.90 $45,221.72 +$2,450.11
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:00am ET $148.38 304 $45,107.52
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $143.82 304 $43,721.28 $43,835.48 $-1,386.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $125.92 348 $43,820.19
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $132.77 348 $46,205.70 $46,220.98 +$2,385.50
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $147.74 312 $46,096.35
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $143.29 312 $44,706.48 $44,831.11 $-1,389.87
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $136.16 329 $44,796.64
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $143.95 329 $47,359.55 $47,394.02 +$2,562.91
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $139.93 338 $47,294.65
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $135.71 338 $45,868.29 $45,967.66 $-1,426.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
10 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $133.09 345 $45,917.43
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:05pm ET $128.86 345 $44,456.74 $44,506.97 $-1,460.69
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
11 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $133.38 333 $44,415.54
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:45am ET $140.10 333 $46,653.30 $46,744.73 +$2,237.76
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET $156.10 299 $46,673.90
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET $151.24 299 $45,220.76 $45,291.59 $-1,453.14
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:00am ET $145.27 311 $45,178.97
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $140.74 311 $43,770.14 $43,882.76 $-1,408.83
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $132.56 331 $43,877.36
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $128.33 331 $42,477.23 $42,482.63 $-1,400.13
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $130.35 325 $42,363.52
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:00am ET $125.72 325 $40,859.00 $40,978.11 $-1,504.52
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $40,978.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$30,978.11
Total Return: +309.78%
Back to Danny Dip