Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:28:48

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.3

30-Day Momentum

10
+2.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.5 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,416.69
Current Value
$14,472.14
Period P&L
$1,055.43
Max Drawdown
-32.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
8 / 11
Best Trade
+6.81%
Worst Trade
-3.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.63%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$541,228.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,055.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,055.43
Gross Return
+7.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,416.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $55.44 236 $13,085.02
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $53.71 236 $12,674.38 $12,686.29 $-410.64
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $51.35 247 $12,683.45
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET $54.05 247 $13,350.35 $13,353.19 +$666.90
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $56.23 237 $13,326.51
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $59.29 237 $14,051.73 $14,078.41 +$725.22
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $57.21 246 $14,073.66
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $55.46 246 $13,643.16 $13,647.91 $-430.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $53.20 256 $13,619.20
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $56.50 256 $14,464.00 $14,492.71 +$844.80
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $59.90 241 $14,435.30
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $63.42 241 $15,285.42 $15,342.84 +$850.13
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $56.80 270 $15,336.00
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $55.08 270 $14,870.25 $14,877.09 $-465.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $56.46 263 $14,850.11
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $54.53 263 $14,342.70 $14,369.68 $-507.41
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $42.52 337 $14,329.24
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $45.42 337 $15,305.56 $15,346.00 +$976.32
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:10am ET $46.48 330 $15,338.40
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $44.89 330 $14,813.70 $14,821.30 $-524.70
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $43.40 341 $14,799.40
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $42.05 341 $14,339.05 $14,360.95 $-460.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
12 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:45am ET $40.46 354 $14,321.96
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:10am ET $42.49 354 $15,039.69 $15,078.69 +$717.74
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $45.70 329 $15,035.30
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:00am ET $44.31 329 $14,577.99 $14,621.38 $-457.31
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
14 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $46.10 317 $14,613.70
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $44.66 317 $14,157.22 $14,164.90 $-456.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $42.49 333 $14,150.30
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $41.11 333 $13,689.63 $13,704.23 $-460.67
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:35am ET $43.00 318 $13,674.00
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $41.68 318 $13,254.59 $13,284.82 $-419.41
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET $41.92 316 $13,246.72
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $44.66 316 $14,112.56 $14,150.66 +$865.84
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $48.57 291 $14,133.87
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:55am ET $51.21 291 $14,902.11 $14,918.90 +$768.24
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:55am ET $48.61 306 $14,874.66
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET $47.15 306 $14,427.90 $14,472.14 $-446.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,472.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,472.14
Total Return: +44.72%
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