Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:04:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.8/10
Raw Quality 2.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

1
-6.6%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,878
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,555.34
Current Value
$3,869.24
Period P&L
$-686.07
Max Drawdown
-55.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+5.32%
Worst Trade
-4.98%
Avg Trade Return
-1.18%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$110,298.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-686.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-686.07
Gross Return
-15.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,555.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $14.48 314 $4,546.72
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $14.70 314 $4,617.37 $4,625.96 +$70.65
(+1.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.37 266 $4,620.42
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET $16.84 266 $4,480.77 $4,486.31 $-139.65
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $16.39 273 $4,473.11
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $15.78 273 $4,307.94 $4,321.14 $-165.17
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET $15.10 286 $4,320.03
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $14.64 286 $4,187.04 $4,188.15 $-132.99
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:05am ET $15.16 276 $4,184.16
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $15.93 276 $4,395.30 $4,399.29 +$211.14
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET $16.19 271 $4,386.16
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:45pm ET $15.68 271 $4,247.93 $4,261.05 $-138.24
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET $16.36 260 $4,253.60
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:00pm ET $15.59 260 $4,052.10 $4,059.55 $-201.50
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $15.04 269 $4,045.73
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:55am ET $15.84 269 $4,260.96 $4,274.78 +$215.23
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:55am ET $15.88 269 $4,270.38
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $15.38 269 $4,137.22 $4,141.63 $-133.15
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $15.16 273 $4,140.04
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $14.66 273 $4,002.18 $4,003.76 $-137.87
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET $15.98 250 $3,995.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET $16.78 250 $4,194.97 $4,203.74 +$199.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:15am ET $17.16 244 $4,187.04
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $16.62 244 $4,055.04 $4,071.74 $-132.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET $16.28 250 $4,070.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $15.47 250 $3,867.50 $3,869.24 $-202.50
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,869.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,130.76
Total Return: -61.31%
Back to Danny Dip