Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:01:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-15.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,861
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,799.33
Current Value
$7,552.77
Period P&L
$-1,246.58
Max Drawdown
-27.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+5.73%
Worst Trade
-10.61%
Avg Trade Return
-1.40%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$168,069.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,246.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,246.58
Gross Return
-14.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,799.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $49.51 177 $8,762.39
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $47.84 177 $8,467.68 $8,504.64 $-294.71
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET $49.86 170 $8,476.22
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $48.25 170 $8,202.50 $8,230.92 $-273.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $51.21 160 $8,193.60
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET $49.66 160 $7,945.62 $7,982.94 $-247.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.29 155 $7,949.95
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.94 155 $8,360.70 $8,393.69 +$410.75
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $53.36 157 $8,377.52
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $56.42 157 $8,857.94 $8,874.11 +$480.42
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $55.55 159 $8,832.45
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $58.36 159 $9,279.24 $9,320.90 +$446.79
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $59.95 155 $9,292.25
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $57.79 155 $8,957.45 $8,986.10 $-334.80
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $56.15 160 $8,984.16
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.19 160 $8,030.56 $8,032.50 $-953.60
(-10.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $47.43 169 $8,015.67
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $46.00 169 $7,774.00 $7,790.83 $-241.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $43.92 177 $7,773.84
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.58 177 $7,535.78 $7,552.77 $-238.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,552.77
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,447.23
Total Return: -24.47%
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