Compendium › Danny Dip › XOM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XOM
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-6.48%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,779.90
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$9,388.60
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:16:31

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,856
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,388.60
Current Value
$8,779.90
Period P&L
$-608.71
Max Drawdown
-7.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.58%
Worst Trade
-5.20%
Avg Trade Return
-1.58%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$74,786.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-608.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-608.71
Gross Return
-6.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,388.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $155.32 60 $9,319.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $163.99 60 $9,839.40 $9,908.81 +$520.20
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $167.33 59 $9,872.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $161.39 59 $9,521.95 $9,558.29 $-350.52
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $161.04 59 $9,501.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $152.67 59 $9,007.53 $9,064.46 $-493.83
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $147.62 61 $9,004.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET $142.96 61 $8,720.26 $8,779.90 $-284.56
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,779.90
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,220.10
Total Return: -12.20%
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