AMC Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 40 trades in period
-29.97%
Last 6 Months Return
$4,353.33
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$6,216.30
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality
3.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.1
30-Day Momentum
9
-16.6%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,213
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,216.30
Current Value
$4,353.33
Period P&L
$-1,862.93
Max Drawdown
-52.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
11 /
29
Best Trade
+6.93%
Worst Trade
-4.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.80%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$408,400.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,862.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,862.93
Gross Return
-29.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-29.97%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $6,216.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $2.52 | 2,471 | $6,214.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $2.43 | 2,471 | $6,004.78 | $6,006.47 |
$-209.79 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $2.39 | 2,515 | $6,004.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $2.30 | 2,515 | $5,788.02 | $5,790.18 |
$-216.29 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $2.23 | 2,602 | $5,789.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:35pm ET | $2.16 | 2,602 | $5,607.31 | $5,608.04 |
$-182.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:45am ET | $2.38 | 2,356 | $5,607.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:45pm ET | $2.29 | 2,356 | $5,395.24 | $5,396.00 |
$-212.04 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 3:50pm ET | $2.21 | 2,439 | $5,395.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:40am ET | $2.15 | 2,439 | $5,231.66 | $5,231.86 |
$-164.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:40am ET | $2.03 | 2,580 | $5,231.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $1.97 | 2,580 | $5,069.70 | $5,070.09 |
$-161.77 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:35am ET | $1.81 | 2,808 | $5,068.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $1.75 | 2,808 | $4,899.96 | $4,901.61 |
$-168.48 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 9:40am ET | $1.63 | 3,007 | $4,901.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:10pm ET | $1.72 | 3,007 | $5,157.01 | $5,157.21 |
+$255.60 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 9:55am ET | $1.58 | 3,263 | $5,155.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.52 | 3,263 | $4,959.76 | $4,961.10 |
$-196.11 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.55 | 3,200 | $4,960.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.50 | 3,200 | $4,784.00 | $4,785.10 |
$-176.00 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1.62 | 2,953 | $4,783.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1.73 | 2,953 | $5,108.69 | $5,109.93 |
+$324.83 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.62 | 3,154 | $5,109.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.57 | 3,154 | $4,951.78 | $4,951.92 |
$-158.02 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.57 | 3,164 | $4,951.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.65 | 3,164 | $5,232.62 | $5,232.88 |
+$280.96 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.62 | 3,230 | $5,232.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1.57 | 3,230 | $5,071.10 | $5,071.38 |
$-161.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1.50 | 3,392 | $5,071.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1.45 | 3,392 | $4,918.40 | $4,918.74 |
$-152.64 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1.38 | 3,564 | $4,918.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.45 | 3,564 | $5,167.80 | $5,168.22 |
+$249.48 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1.39 | 3,718 | $5,168.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.47 | 3,718 | $5,454.31 | $5,454.51 |
+$286.29 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.46 | 3,735 | $5,453.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $1.41 | 3,735 | $5,285.02 | $5,286.43 |
$-168.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.37 | 3,858 | $5,285.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.36 | 3,858 | $5,246.88 | $5,247.85 |
$-38.58 (-0.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.32 | 3,990 | $5,246.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1.27 | 3,990 | $5,087.25 | $5,088.25 |
$-159.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.23 | 4,136 | $5,087.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $1.30 | 4,136 | $5,377.21 | $5,377.77 |
+$289.52 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.23 | 4,372 | $5,377.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $1.19 | 4,372 | $5,214.92 | $5,215.13 |
$-162.64 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1.15 | 4,515 | $5,214.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.12 | 4,515 | $5,049.12 | $5,049.43 |
$-165.70 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.12 | 4,528 | $5,048.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.17 | 4,528 | $5,320.40 | $5,321.11 |
+$271.68 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $1.20 | 4,434 | $5,320.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $1.16 | 4,434 | $5,143.44 | $5,143.75 |
$-177.36 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $1.12 | 4,613 | $5,143.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $1.08 | 4,613 | $4,982.04 | $4,982.29 |
$-161.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1.07 | 4,656 | $4,981.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:50pm ET | $1.03 | 4,656 | $4,818.96 | $4,819.33 |
$-162.96 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.01 | 4,795 | $4,818.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $0.9560 | 4,795 | $4,584.02 | $4,584.37 |
$-234.96 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $0.9866 | 4,646 | $4,583.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1.05 | 4,646 | $4,901.53 | $4,902.16 |
+$317.79 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.00 | 4,902 | $4,902.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.07 | 4,902 | $5,220.63 | $5,220.79 |
+$318.63 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.26 | 4,147 | $5,219.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.22 | 4,147 | $5,061.41 | $5,062.37 |
$-158.42 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $1.34 | 3,777 | $5,061.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1.29 | 3,777 | $4,872.33 | $4,873.52 |
$-188.85 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.39 | 3,506 | $4,872.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $1.34 | 3,506 | $4,697.69 | $4,698.22 |
$-175.30 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $1.49 | 3,153 | $4,697.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET | $1.57 | 3,153 | $4,936.34 | $4,936.59 |
+$238.37 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.57 | 3,144 | $4,936.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.67 | 3,144 | $5,250.48 | $5,250.68 |
+$314.09 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.79 | 2,933 | $5,250.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.71 | 2,933 | $5,016.02 | $5,016.63 |
$-234.05 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.73 | 2,908 | $5,016.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.67 | 2,908 | $4,865.37 | $4,865.70 |
$-150.93 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.61 | 3,031 | $4,864.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.54 | 3,031 | $4,667.74 | $4,668.68 |
$-197.02 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.52 | 3,061 | $4,668.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.48 | 3,061 | $4,514.98 | $4,515.63 |
$-153.05 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $1.53 | 2,951 | $4,515.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $1.48 | 2,951 | $4,352.73 | $4,353.33 |
$-162.30 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,353.33
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,646.67
Total Return:
-56.47%