Compendium › Danny Dip › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-2.39%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,615.05
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,874.81
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:02

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 15.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 11.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,517
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
132 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,874.81
Current Value
$10,615.05
Period P&L
$-259.76
Max Drawdown
-12.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.15%
Worst Trade
-4.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.72%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$65,290.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-259.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-259.76
Gross Return
-2.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 132 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,874.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $322.60 33 $10,645.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET $339.20 33 $11,193.60 $11,422.69 +$547.88
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $373.96 30 $11,218.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $362.34 30 $10,870.20 $11,074.09 $-348.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $340.95 32 $10,910.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 32 $10,451.36 $10,615.05 $-459.04
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,615.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$615.05
Total Return: +6.15%
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