Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.6/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 39.8/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 32.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,130
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,110.01
Current Value
$14,754.36
Period P&L
$1,644.33
Max Drawdown
-17.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+5.27%
Worst Trade
-5.24%
Avg Trade Return
+1.80%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$184,819.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,644.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,644.33
Gross Return
+12.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,110.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET $225.36 58 $13,070.88
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $218.54 58 $12,675.32 $12,714.46 $-395.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $227.54 55 $12,514.70
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $239.34 55 $13,163.70 $13,363.46 +$649.00
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:00am ET $237.25 56 $13,286.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $224.82 56 $12,589.92 $12,667.38 $-696.08
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $203.01 62 $12,586.93
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $208.92 62 $12,952.88 $13,033.34 +$365.95
(+2.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:00am ET $207.52 62 $12,866.55
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET $212.59 62 $13,180.58 $13,347.37 +$314.03
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $201.77 66 $13,317.15
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:15am ET $211.96 66 $13,989.47 $14,019.69 +$672.32
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:20am ET $258.24 54 $13,945.23
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $271.85 54 $14,679.90 $14,754.36 +$734.67
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,754.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,754.36
Total Return: +47.54%
Back to Danny Dip