COIN Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 41 trades in period
-8.65%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,825.12
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$11,850.50
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
8.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality
14.1/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 13.9
30-Day Momentum
38
+13.3%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.4
Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,357
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,850.50
Current Value
$10,825.12
Period P&L
$-1,025.42
Max Drawdown
-46.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
14 /
27
Best Trade
+11.35%
Worst Trade
-5.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$808,332.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,025.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,025.42
Gross Return
-8.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.65%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,850.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $309.00 | 38 | $11,742.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:35am ET | $297.73 | 38 | $11,313.71 | $11,422.24 |
$-428.29 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $311.61 | 36 | $11,217.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:10am ET | $301.87 | 36 | $10,867.14 | $11,071.60 |
$-350.64 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 11:10am ET | $291.25 | 38 | $11,067.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 2:05pm ET | $282.13 | 38 | $10,720.94 | $10,725.04 |
$-346.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $271.84 | 39 | $10,601.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET | $263.24 | 39 | $10,266.36 | $10,389.84 |
$-335.20 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $258.22 | 40 | $10,328.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:30am ET | $250.42 | 40 | $10,016.60 | $10,077.84 |
$-312.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET | $247.20 | 40 | $9,888.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET | $239.78 | 40 | $9,591.00 | $9,780.70 |
$-297.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $249.05 | 39 | $9,712.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $241.09 | 39 | $9,402.51 | $9,470.45 |
$-310.24 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $259.29 | 36 | $9,334.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:40am ET | $272.46 | 36 | $9,808.56 | $9,944.75 |
+$474.30 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $266.88 | 37 | $9,874.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:35am ET | $280.25 | 37 | $10,369.15 | $10,439.35 |
+$494.59 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $266.64 | 39 | $10,398.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $258.14 | 39 | $10,067.27 | $10,107.65 |
$-331.70 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:35am ET | $250.32 | 40 | $10,012.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 2:40pm ET | $242.64 | 40 | $9,705.60 | $9,800.45 |
$-307.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:50am ET | $241.56 | 40 | $9,662.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:55am ET | $234.11 | 40 | $9,364.40 | $9,502.65 |
$-297.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $243.41 | 39 | $9,492.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.16 | 39 | $9,990.17 | $10,000.03 |
+$497.37 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $246.84 | 40 | $9,873.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $239.06 | 40 | $9,562.40 | $9,688.83 |
$-311.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.88 | 41 | $9,507.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $224.42 | 41 | $9,201.22 | $9,382.84 |
$-305.98 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.16 | 43 | $9,380.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $209.32 | 43 | $9,000.55 | $9,002.51 |
$-380.34 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.46 | 44 | $8,996.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $198.24 | 44 | $8,722.56 | $8,728.74 |
$-273.77 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.19 | 46 | $8,702.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $183.15 | 46 | $8,424.67 | $8,450.67 |
$-278.07 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $172.26 | 49 | $8,440.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $166.43 | 49 | $8,154.83 | $8,164.75 |
$-285.91 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:45pm ET | $146.16 | 55 | $8,038.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.11 | 55 | $8,585.93 | $8,711.89 |
+$547.13 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.67 | 54 | $8,622.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $167.24 | 54 | $9,030.96 | $9,120.67 |
+$408.78 (+4.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.73 | 58 | $9,032.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $151.04 | 58 | $8,760.32 | $8,848.65 |
$-272.02 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $160.94 | 54 | $8,690.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $169.01 | 54 | $9,126.54 | $9,284.43 |
+$435.78 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $169.30 | 54 | $9,142.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $162.38 | 54 | $8,768.52 | $8,910.75 |
$-373.68 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $154.25 | 57 | $8,792.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.76 | 57 | $9,790.32 | $9,908.71 |
+$997.96 (+11.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:45pm ET | $177.98 | 55 | $9,788.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $172.33 | 55 | $9,478.15 | $9,597.96 |
$-310.75 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.18 | 54 | $9,567.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $195.70 | 54 | $10,567.80 | $10,598.04 |
+$1,000.08 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $205.36 | 51 | $10,473.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.60 | 51 | $10,077.60 | $10,202.28 |
$-395.76 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $195.24 | 52 | $10,152.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $205.07 | 52 | $10,663.64 | $10,713.44 |
+$511.16 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.69 | 52 | $10,695.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $195.24 | 52 | $10,152.58 | $10,170.14 |
$-543.30 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $198.01 | 51 | $10,098.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $190.04 | 51 | $9,692.04 | $9,763.67 |
$-406.47 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:55am ET | $183.27 | 53 | $9,713.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.64 | 53 | $9,361.92 | $9,412.28 |
$-351.39 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.16 | 56 | $9,304.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $160.47 | 56 | $8,986.30 | $9,093.62 |
$-318.66 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $160.52 | 56 | $8,989.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET | $168.68 | 56 | $9,446.36 | $9,550.86 |
+$457.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.01 | 57 | $9,462.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.70 | 57 | $10,014.62 | $10,102.62 |
+$551.76 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $169.49 | 59 | $10,000.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.94 | 59 | $10,911.46 | $11,013.88 |
+$911.26 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $169.43 | 65 | $11,013.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $164.34 | 65 | $10,682.10 | $10,682.70 |
$-331.18 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $189.90 | 56 | $10,634.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $199.77 | 56 | $11,187.12 | $11,235.42 |
+$552.72 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $200.56 | 56 | $11,231.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:55pm ET | $210.61 | 56 | $11,794.02 | $11,798.02 |
+$562.60 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $199.49 | 59 | $11,769.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.43 | 59 | $11,235.37 | $11,263.48 |
$-534.54 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.15 | 60 | $11,228.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $179.84 | 60 | $10,790.40 | $10,825.12 |
$-438.36 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,825.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$825.12
Total Return:
+8.25%