Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:03

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 61%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.5/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 42.0/100
× Confidence 0.61 = 25.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (61%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,201
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
132 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,649.76
Current Value
$11,643.18
Period P&L
$-6.57
Max Drawdown
-3.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+2.93%
Worst Trade
-3.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
10.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$70,404.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-6.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6.57
Gross Return
-0.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 132 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,649.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET $77.44 150 $11,616.00
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:15pm ET $77.56 150 $11,633.25 $11,667.00 +$17.25
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $76.51 152 $11,629.52
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:40am ET $78.75 152 $11,970.00 $12,007.48 +$340.48
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $80.27 149 $11,960.23
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $77.82 149 $11,595.92 $11,643.18 $-364.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,643.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,643.18
Total Return: +16.43%
Back to Danny Dip