Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.1/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 37.3/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 27.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,059
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
136 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,341.26
Current Value
$12,242.86
Period P&L
$901.60
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+6.97%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
+1.23%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$241,283.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$901.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$901.60
Gross Return
+7.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 136 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,341.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 10:15am ET $302.10 36 $10,875.60
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $323.17 36 $11,634.12 $11,698.74 +$758.52
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $297.60 39 $11,606.40
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $317.36 39 $12,377.04 $12,469.38 +$770.64
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $305.84 40 $12,233.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET $295.16 40 $11,806.40 $12,042.18 $-427.20
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $283.45 42 $11,904.90
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:40am ET $297.76 42 $12,505.92 $12,643.20 +$601.02
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $283.36 44 $12,467.84
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $274.79 44 $12,090.76 $12,266.12 $-377.08
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:20am ET $249.75 49 $12,237.76
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $240.47 49 $11,783.03 $11,811.39 $-454.73
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $235.97 50 $11,798.50
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET $248.72 50 $12,436.00 $12,448.89 +$637.50
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $247.67 50 $12,383.50
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET $239.40 50 $11,970.00 $12,035.39 $-413.50
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $235.65 51 $12,017.90
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $247.49 51 $12,621.99 $12,639.49 +$604.10
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 54 $12,464.28
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $223.48 54 $12,067.65 $12,242.86 $-396.63
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,242.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,242.86
Total Return: +22.43%
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