LCID Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 39 trades in period
-45.44%
Last 6 Months Return
$4,146.84
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$7,599.83
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality
3.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 3.8
30-Day Momentum
9
-7.9%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,151
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,599.83
Current Value
$4,146.84
Period P&L
$-3,453.00
Max Drawdown
-57.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
9 /
30
Best Trade
+5.88%
Worst Trade
-6.68%
Avg Trade Return
-1.42%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$434,204.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,453.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,453.00
Gross Return
-45.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-45.44%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,599.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:40am ET | $17.38 | 427 | $7,421.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:25pm ET | $16.85 | 427 | $7,194.95 | $7,198.46 |
$-226.31 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $16.08 | 447 | $7,187.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 11:20am ET | $15.58 | 447 | $6,965.82 | $6,976.52 |
$-221.94 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.82 | 504 | $6,965.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $13.38 | 504 | $6,743.52 | $6,754.76 |
$-221.76 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:45am ET | $12.50 | 540 | $6,747.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 3:05pm ET | $13.17 | 540 | $7,109.10 | $7,116.56 |
+$361.80 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET | $12.43 | 572 | $7,107.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET | $12.01 | 572 | $6,871.72 | $6,881.18 |
$-235.38 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $12.31 | 558 | $6,869.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 12:15pm ET | $12.95 | 558 | $7,226.66 | $7,238.81 |
+$357.62 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.13 | 551 | $7,235.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:15am ET | $12.69 | 551 | $6,989.44 | $6,992.67 |
$-246.13 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $13.78 | 507 | $6,986.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.86 | 507 | $6,520.02 | $6,526.23 |
$-466.44 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 9:35am ET | $12.37 | 527 | $6,518.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 12:30pm ET | $12.99 | 527 | $6,848.10 | $6,855.35 |
+$329.11 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:50am ET | $12.40 | 552 | $6,846.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:35pm ET | $12.03 | 552 | $6,637.80 | $6,646.97 |
$-208.38 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $11.97 | 555 | $6,643.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:40am ET | $11.53 | 555 | $6,399.15 | $6,402.77 |
$-244.20 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $11.69 | 547 | $6,394.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $11.28 | 547 | $6,170.16 | $6,178.50 |
$-224.27 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.00 | 561 | $6,170.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.63 | 561 | $5,963.43 | $5,971.04 |
$-207.46 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.01 | 596 | $5,965.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.66 | 596 | $5,754.38 | $5,759.46 |
$-211.58 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $10.62 | 542 | $5,756.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $11.18 | 542 | $6,059.56 | $6,062.98 |
+$303.52 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $11.51 | 526 | $6,051.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $11.16 | 526 | $5,867.69 | $5,879.04 |
$-183.94 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $11.22 | 524 | $5,876.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $10.81 | 524 | $5,664.44 | $5,666.82 |
$-212.22 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $11.10 | 510 | $5,658.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.74 | 510 | $5,478.27 | $5,486.63 |
$-180.18 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $10.25 | 535 | $5,483.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $9.90 | 535 | $5,299.17 | $5,302.00 |
$-184.63 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.65 | 498 | $5,301.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $10.32 | 498 | $5,141.85 | $5,142.64 |
$-159.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.03 | 512 | $5,136.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $9.72 | 512 | $4,974.08 | $4,980.23 |
$-162.41 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $9.41 | 528 | $4,971.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $9.89 | 528 | $5,221.92 | $5,231.03 |
+$250.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $10.32 | 506 | $5,224.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $9.98 | 506 | $5,047.45 | $5,054.03 |
$-177.00 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $9.72 | 520 | $5,052.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $10.22 | 520 | $5,316.12 | $5,317.57 |
+$263.54 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $9.95 | 534 | $5,313.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $9.60 | 534 | $5,123.73 | $5,128.05 |
$-189.52 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $10.66 | 481 | $5,126.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $10.34 | 481 | $4,971.14 | $4,972.69 |
$-155.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.17 | 488 | $4,962.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $9.81 | 488 | $4,789.67 | $4,799.40 |
$-173.29 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $10.27 | 467 | $4,793.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $9.94 | 467 | $4,641.98 | $4,647.62 |
$-151.78 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $9.59 | 484 | $4,641.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $9.29 | 484 | $4,496.36 | $4,502.42 |
$-145.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $8.99 | 500 | $4,497.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $8.71 | 500 | $4,355.05 | $4,359.97 |
$-142.45 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $8.34 | 523 | $4,359.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:10pm ET | $8.82 | 523 | $4,615.47 | $4,616.24 |
+$256.27 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $8.52 | 541 | $4,612.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $8.22 | 541 | $4,447.02 | $4,451.24 |
$-165.00 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $7.47 | 595 | $4,445.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $7.86 | 595 | $4,673.73 | $4,679.48 |
+$228.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $7.05 | 663 | $4,677.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $6.83 | 663 | $4,528.29 | $4,530.31 |
$-149.17 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $6.93 | 653 | $4,528.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.66 | 653 | $4,348.78 | $4,350.54 |
$-179.77 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $6.07 | 716 | $4,345.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.84 | 716 | $4,181.44 | $4,186.43 |
$-164.11 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $5.72 | 732 | $4,183.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $6.02 | 732 | $4,406.64 | $4,409.69 |
+$223.26 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.54 | 674 | $4,407.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $6.34 | 674 | $4,273.83 | $4,275.56 |
$-134.13 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.08 | 703 | $4,274.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $5.90 | 703 | $4,145.59 | $4,146.84 |
$-128.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,146.84
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,853.16
Total Return:
-58.53%