Compendium › Danny Dip › MA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MA
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-30 to present • 4 trades in period

-7.32%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,175.50
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$12,057.73
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-30 05:58:32

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
15.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.46%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.72
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.9
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 29, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.2/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 28.1/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 19.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,547
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-01 → 2026-05-29
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,057.73
Current Value
$11,175.50
Period P&L
$-882.24
Max Drawdown
-6.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.25

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+0.66%
Worst Trade
-3.27%
Avg Trade Return
-1.94%
Avg Hold Time
7.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$89,763.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-882.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-882.24
Gross Return
-7.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,057.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $556.93 21 $11,695.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:10am ET $540.20 21 $11,344.20 $11,706.41 $-351.33
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $510.11 22 $11,222.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $493.43 22 $10,855.57 $11,339.56 $-366.85
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:50am ET $491.98 23 $11,315.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:50am ET $495.23 23 $11,390.29 $11,414.31 +$74.75
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $504.07 22 $11,089.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $493.21 22 $10,850.73 $11,175.50 $-238.81
(-2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,175.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,175.50
Total Return: +11.76%
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