Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 18:28:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.4

30-Day Momentum

30
+6.2%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.9 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,374
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,779.54
Current Value
$9,436.40
Period P&L
$-2,343.09
Max Drawdown
-46.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
59
Winners / Losers
20 / 39
Best Trade
+9.76%
Worst Trade
-6.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.27%
Avg Hold Time
20.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,154,505.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,343.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,343.09
Gross Return
-19.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 59 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,779.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:25am ET $15.99 736 $11,764.96
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $15.01 736 $11,046.84 $11,061.36 $-718.12
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:30am ET $14.47 764 $11,051.26
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:45am ET $14.02 764 $10,711.43 $10,721.53 $-339.83
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 11:45am ET $13.55 791 $10,718.05
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:05pm ET $13.12 791 $10,373.97 $10,377.44 $-344.09
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $11.92 870 $10,366.05
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:15am ET $11.53 870 $10,026.75 $10,038.14 $-339.30
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $11.61 864 $10,031.04
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:45am ET $11.24 864 $9,711.36 $9,718.46 $-319.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:55am ET $11.23 865 $9,709.63
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET $10.86 865 $9,393.90 $9,402.74 $-315.73
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $10.02 938 $9,394.07
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $10.60 938 $9,940.88 $9,949.54 +$546.81
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $10.84 918 $9,946.53
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:10pm ET $11.39 918 $10,451.52 $10,454.54 +$504.99
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET $10.98 952 $10,452.96
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:30am ET $10.65 952 $10,134.04 $10,135.62 $-318.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $11.85 855 $10,128.07
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:50pm ET $12.49 855 $10,681.77 $10,689.31 +$553.70
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $12.09 884 $10,687.56
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:45am ET $11.71 884 $10,355.00 $10,356.75 $-332.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:25pm ET $12.38 836 $10,349.68
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $11.96 836 $9,998.56 $10,005.63 $-351.12
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $11.46 873 $10,000.22
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET $12.10 873 $10,559.02 $10,564.44 +$558.81
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET $11.20 943 $10,556.89
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:50am ET $10.84 943 $10,217.41 $10,224.96 $-339.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET $10.62 963 $10,222.25
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET $10.29 963 $9,904.46 $9,907.17 $-317.79
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET $9.78 1,013 $9,902.08
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $10.45 1,013 $10,585.85 $10,590.94 +$683.77
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:45am ET $9.82 1,079 $10,590.39
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:45am ET $9.50 1,079 $10,250.50 $10,251.06 $-339.89
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:45am ET $9.51 1,077 $10,245.93
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 10:10am ET $9.21 1,077 $9,913.79 $9,918.91 $-332.15
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET $10.35 958 $9,910.51
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $10.01 958 $9,584.79 $9,593.19 $-325.72
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET $10.21 939 $9,591.51
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:25am ET $10.77 939 $10,108.34 $10,110.02 +$516.83
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $10.98 921 $10,107.98
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $11.55 921 $10,637.55 $10,639.59 +$529.58
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $10.60 1,003 $10,629.49
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET $11.14 1,003 $11,168.41 $11,178.51 +$538.91
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET $10.37 1,078 $11,173.47
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:45am ET $10.02 1,078 $10,796.17 $10,801.21 $-377.30
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET $10.23 1,055 $10,792.65
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:15am ET $9.91 1,055 $10,449.78 $10,458.33 $-342.88
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $10.05 1,041 $10,457.57
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $10.57 1,041 $11,003.37 $11,004.13 +$545.80
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $10.05 1,095 $10,999.28
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $9.72 1,095 $10,637.93 $10,642.78 $-361.35
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $9.37 1,136 $10,638.64
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $9.07 1,136 $10,309.20 $10,313.34 $-329.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $9.02 1,142 $10,306.55
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:55am ET $9.51 1,142 $10,854.71 $10,861.50 +$548.16
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:55am ET $8.44 1,287 $10,855.85
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $8.17 1,287 $10,514.79 $10,520.44 $-341.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $7.28 1,446 $10,519.65
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $7.03 1,446 $10,172.61 $10,173.40 $-347.04
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $7.82 1,300 $10,172.50
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $8.30 1,300 $10,783.50 $10,784.40 +$611.00
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $7.89 1,367 $10,778.80
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $7.46 1,367 $10,197.68 $10,203.29 $-581.11
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $7.68 1,329 $10,200.08
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $7.43 1,329 $9,874.47 $9,877.68 $-325.61
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:20am ET $8.03 1,230 $9,876.90
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $7.78 1,230 $9,569.40 $9,570.18 $-307.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $7.64 1,253 $9,566.66
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $8.06 1,253 $10,094.80 $10,098.32 +$528.14
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $8.42 1,199 $10,097.98
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $8.15 1,199 $9,765.86 $9,766.20 $-332.12
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $9.14 1,068 $9,761.41
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $8.60 1,068 $9,190.14 $9,194.93 $-571.27
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $9.03 1,018 $9,192.54
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $8.66 1,018 $8,815.88 $8,818.27 $-376.66
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET $9.16 962 $8,811.92
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET $8.89 962 $8,547.37 $8,553.72 $-264.55
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $8.35 1,024 $8,550.40
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $8.09 1,024 $8,284.16 $8,287.48 $-266.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:15am ET $8.45 980 $8,285.90
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.28 980 $9,094.40 $9,095.98 +$808.50
(+9.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $9.24 984 $9,092.16
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $8.94 984 $8,796.96 $8,800.78 $-295.20
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $8.95 982 $8,793.81
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $8.66 982 $8,509.03 $8,516.00 $-284.78
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $8.69 979 $8,507.51
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET $8.40 979 $8,223.50 $8,231.99 $-284.01
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $8.22 1,001 $8,228.22
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $8.97 1,001 $8,981.47 $8,985.24 +$753.25
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $8.29 1,083 $8,978.07
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 1,083 $8,664.00 $8,671.17 $-314.07
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $7.92 1,094 $8,667.43
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $7.66 1,094 $8,380.92 $8,384.65 $-286.52
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $7.79 1,076 $8,382.04
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $8.26 1,076 $8,882.38 $8,884.99 +$500.34
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $8.67 1,024 $8,878.08
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $8.39 1,024 $8,591.26 $8,598.17 $-286.82
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $9.43 911 $8,590.73
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $9.92 911 $9,035.30 $9,042.74 +$444.57
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $9.40 961 $9,033.50
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET $9.95 961 $9,562.91 $9,572.16 +$529.42
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.71 817 $9,567.07
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.30 817 $9,235.12 $9,240.21 $-331.95
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $11.35 814 $9,238.74
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $11.92 814 $9,702.88 $9,704.35 +$464.14
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $11.78 823 $9,698.97
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $11.41 823 $9,394.54 $9,399.92 $-304.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $11.18 840 $9,391.12
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 840 $9,046.80 $9,055.60 $-344.32
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $10.65 850 $9,052.50
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:10am ET $10.31 850 $8,759.25 $8,762.35 $-293.25
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:35am ET $11.38 769 $8,751.30
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:20am ET $11.99 769 $9,224.15 $9,235.21 +$472.86
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
58 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:55am ET $11.80 782 $9,227.60
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $11.44 782 $8,949.99 $8,957.60 $-277.61
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
59 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $12.43 720 $8,949.60
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $13.10 720 $9,428.40 $9,436.40 +$478.80
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,436.40
Net Profit/Loss: $-563.60
Total Return: -5.64%
Back to Danny Dip