RBLX Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 29 trades in period
-23.52%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,821.30
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$19,379.69
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
29.7/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 28.7
30-Day Momentum
22
+5.3%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.1
Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,589
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$19,379.69
Current Value
$14,821.30
Period P&L
$-4,558.40
Max Drawdown
-32.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
8 /
21
Best Trade
+6.81%
Worst Trade
-4.30%
Avg Trade Return
-0.90%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$906,427.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,558.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,558.40
Gross Return
-23.52%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.52%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 29 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $19,379.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $104.10 | 189 | $19,673.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $100.85 | 189 | $19,060.18 | $19,093.85 |
$-613.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $101.45 | 188 | $19,072.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $97.50 | 188 | $18,330.00 | $18,351.25 |
$-742.60 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET | $93.32 | 196 | $18,290.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:15am ET | $90.43 | 196 | $17,723.30 | $17,783.83 |
$-567.42 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $92.07 | 193 | $17,769.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $96.89 | 193 | $18,698.81 | $18,713.12 |
+$929.30 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $91.67 | 204 | $18,700.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:00pm ET | $88.80 | 204 | $18,115.20 | $18,127.64 |
$-585.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:20am ET | $81.78 | 221 | $18,073.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $79.02 | 221 | $17,463.42 | $17,517.68 |
$-609.96 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.54 | 225 | $17,446.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.50 | 225 | $16,762.50 | $16,833.68 |
$-684.00 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $83.26 | 202 | $16,818.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $87.57 | 202 | $17,689.14 | $17,704.30 |
+$870.62 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.88 | 211 | $17,698.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $81.35 | 211 | $17,164.85 | $17,170.47 |
$-533.83 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $74.20 | 231 | $17,140.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $71.85 | 231 | $16,597.35 | $16,627.76 |
$-542.71 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $74.11 | 224 | $16,600.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $70.92 | 224 | $15,886.08 | $15,913.20 |
$-714.56 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.32 | 243 | $15,873.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $63.28 | 243 | $15,378.25 | $15,418.09 |
$-495.11 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $63.01 | 244 | $15,374.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $60.91 | 244 | $14,862.04 | $14,905.69 |
$-512.40 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $73.46 | 202 | $14,839.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $70.48 | 202 | $14,236.96 | $14,302.72 |
$-602.97 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.41 | 232 | $14,247.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $64.70 | 232 | $15,010.40 | $15,066.00 |
+$763.28 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $66.36 | 227 | $15,064.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $63.60 | 227 | $14,437.20 | $14,438.35 |
$-627.65 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $67.27 | 214 | $14,395.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 1:50pm ET | $65.24 | 214 | $13,961.36 | $14,003.93 |
$-434.42 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $61.80 | 226 | $13,966.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $59.85 | 226 | $13,526.10 | $13,563.23 |
$-440.70 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $58.33 | 232 | $13,532.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.32 | 232 | $13,066.26 | $13,096.93 |
$-466.30 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $55.44 | 236 | $13,085.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $53.71 | 236 | $12,674.38 | $12,686.29 |
$-410.64 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $51.35 | 247 | $12,683.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.05 | 247 | $13,350.35 | $13,353.19 |
+$666.90 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.23 | 237 | $13,326.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $59.29 | 237 | $14,051.73 | $14,078.41 |
+$725.22 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $57.21 | 246 | $14,073.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $55.46 | 246 | $13,643.16 | $13,647.91 |
$-430.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.20 | 256 | $13,619.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.50 | 256 | $14,464.00 | $14,492.71 |
+$844.80 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $59.90 | 241 | $14,435.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $63.42 | 241 | $15,285.42 | $15,342.84 |
+$850.13 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.80 | 270 | $15,336.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $55.08 | 270 | $14,870.25 | $14,877.09 |
$-465.75 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $56.46 | 263 | $14,850.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.53 | 263 | $14,342.70 | $14,369.68 |
$-507.41 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.52 | 337 | $14,329.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $45.42 | 337 | $15,305.56 | $15,346.00 |
+$976.32 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $46.48 | 330 | $15,338.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:35pm ET | $44.89 | 330 | $14,813.70 | $14,821.30 |
$-524.70 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,821.30
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,821.30
Total Return:
+48.21%