SOFI Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 30 trades in period
-41.19%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,425.03
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$12,626.03
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality
4.3/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.2
30-Day Momentum
1
-11.3%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,371
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,626.03
Current Value
$7,425.03
Period P&L
$-5,201.01
Max Drawdown
-30.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.42
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
7 /
23
Best Trade
+5.33%
Worst Trade
-9.95%
Avg Trade Return
-1.68%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$634,088.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,201.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,201.01
Gross Return
-41.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-41.19%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,626.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:50am ET | $29.61 | 426 | $12,611.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $28.68 | 426 | $12,219.17 | $12,233.47 |
$-392.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $26.57 | 460 | $12,219.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 3:00pm ET | $27.92 | 460 | $12,843.20 | $12,856.77 |
+$623.30 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $29.91 | 429 | $12,831.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $31.46 | 429 | $13,496.34 | $13,521.72 |
+$664.95 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $31.06 | 435 | $13,508.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:20am ET | $29.97 | 435 | $13,038.47 | $13,051.27 |
$-470.45 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $27.68 | 471 | $13,034.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:15pm ET | $26.81 | 471 | $12,625.16 | $12,641.50 |
$-409.77 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET | $27.50 | 459 | $12,622.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET | $26.63 | 459 | $12,220.88 | $12,239.88 |
$-401.63 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $26.71 | 458 | $12,233.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 2:55pm ET | $28.14 | 458 | $12,885.83 | $12,891.98 |
+$652.10 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $29.28 | 440 | $12,884.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.32 | 440 | $12,020.80 | $12,027.82 |
$-864.16 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.61 | 452 | $12,027.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $25.81 | 452 | $11,663.86 | $11,663.96 |
$-363.86 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $25.89 | 450 | $11,650.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 1:25pm ET | $27.20 | 450 | $12,240.00 | $12,253.46 |
+$589.50 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.56 | 429 | $12,250.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $27.63 | 429 | $11,851.13 | $11,854.49 |
$-398.97 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $26.56 | 446 | $11,845.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.70 | 446 | $11,459.97 | $11,468.70 |
$-385.79 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $25.10 | 456 | $11,445.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $24.33 | 456 | $11,092.20 | $11,115.30 |
$-353.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $23.45 | 474 | $11,115.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $22.74 | 474 | $10,778.76 | $10,778.80 |
$-336.49 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $22.02 | 489 | $10,767.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $21.34 | 489 | $10,437.70 | $10,448.78 |
$-330.03 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $20.12 | 519 | $10,442.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $19.34 | 519 | $10,040.05 | $10,046.55 |
$-402.23 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $21.07 | 476 | $10,026.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $20.42 | 476 | $9,717.54 | $9,737.15 |
$-309.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.26 | 505 | $9,726.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $18.64 | 505 | $9,411.08 | $9,421.93 |
$-315.22 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.12 | 519 | $9,405.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $17.58 | 519 | $9,121.43 | $9,138.04 |
$-283.89 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $17.85 | 511 | $9,121.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 12:45pm ET | $18.75 | 511 | $9,583.80 | $9,600.49 |
+$462.45 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $18.78 | 511 | $9,596.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.93 | 511 | $9,162.23 | $9,166.14 |
$-434.35 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $18.34 | 499 | $9,149.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $17.77 | 499 | $8,867.23 | $8,883.66 |
$-282.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $17.08 | 519 | $8,867.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $17.94 | 519 | $9,310.86 | $9,327.41 |
+$443.75 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $16.86 | 553 | $9,323.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.25 | 553 | $8,986.25 | $8,990.14 |
$-337.27 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $15.52 | 579 | $8,986.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $15.05 | 579 | $8,714.53 | $8,718.65 |
$-271.49 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $15.61 | 558 | $8,710.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.99 | 558 | $8,367.21 | $8,375.48 |
$-343.17 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $16.92 | 494 | $8,360.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $16.40 | 494 | $8,099.13 | $8,113.66 |
$-261.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $18.82 | 431 | $8,110.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.80 | 431 | $8,533.80 | $8,536.51 |
+$422.85 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $19.00 | 449 | $8,531.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $18.35 | 449 | $8,239.15 | $8,244.03 |
$-292.48 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.30 | 450 | $8,235.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.48 | 450 | $7,416.00 | $7,425.03 |
$-819.00 (-9.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,425.03
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,574.97
Total Return:
-25.75%