SOXL Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 45 trades in period
+0.31%
Last 6 Months Return
$36,053.01
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$35,943.39
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
53
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
24.0/35
Total Return
19.8/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
54.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 53.4
30-Day Momentum
31
+10.0%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.7
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,856
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$35,943.39
Current Value
$36,053.01
Period P&L
$109.69
Max Drawdown
-35.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
19 /
26
Best Trade
+12.39%
Worst Trade
-12.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
19.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$3,223,489.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$109.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$109.69
Gross Return
+0.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.31%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $35,943.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 10:55am ET | $46.76 | 766 | $35,818.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.54 | 766 | $34,121.09 | $34,131.34 |
$-1,697.07 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:30am ET | $40.45 | 843 | $34,099.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET | $42.48 | 843 | $35,810.64 | $35,842.63 |
+$1,711.29 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $42.25 | 848 | $35,823.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.22 | 848 | $33,254.32 | $33,273.19 |
$-2,569.44 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:30am ET | $35.66 | 933 | $33,266.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:40am ET | $34.57 | 933 | $32,257.82 | $32,264.90 |
$-1,008.29 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.16 | 1,003 | $32,258.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET | $30.85 | 1,003 | $30,942.55 | $30,948.56 |
$-1,316.34 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:15am ET | $44.81 | 690 | $30,915.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:55am ET | $47.14 | 690 | $32,523.15 | $32,556.13 |
+$1,607.56 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 12:35pm ET | $48.02 | 677 | $32,509.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.21 | 677 | $28,575.97 | $28,622.55 |
$-3,933.57 (-12.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.77 | 800 | $28,616.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.86 | 800 | $31,084.00 | $31,090.39 |
+$2,467.84 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 10:20am ET | $42.26 | 735 | $31,061.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.50 | 735 | $34,909.63 | $34,938.93 |
+$3,848.53 (+12.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.15 | 669 | $34,888.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.42 | 669 | $33,058.64 | $33,109.21 |
$-1,829.72 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.94 | 613 | $33,062.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.78 | 613 | $36,643.91 | $36,690.97 |
+$3,581.76 (+10.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.43 | 638 | $36,637.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.92 | 638 | $40,780.96 | $40,834.78 |
+$4,143.81 (+11.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $60.46 | 675 | $40,810.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.50 | 675 | $44,212.50 | $44,236.78 |
+$3,402.00 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.16 | 648 | $44,170.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.77 | 648 | $41,319.72 | $41,386.42 |
$-2,850.36 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $64.54 | 641 | $41,370.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $61.43 | 641 | $39,376.12 | $39,392.40 |
$-1,994.02 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $58.34 | 675 | $39,379.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:25am ET | $56.49 | 675 | $38,130.75 | $38,143.65 |
$-1,248.75 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $50.48 | 755 | $38,112.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $53.47 | 755 | $40,369.85 | $40,401.10 |
+$2,257.45 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $62.89 | 642 | $40,375.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.72 | 642 | $43,474.83 | $43,500.55 |
+$3,099.45 (+7.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.71 | 704 | $43,440.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $64.88 | 704 | $45,675.52 | $45,735.47 |
+$2,234.92 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 3:10pm ET | $65.43 | 698 | $45,670.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $63.42 | 698 | $44,263.67 | $44,329.00 |
$-1,406.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $65.81 | 673 | $44,290.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:15am ET | $63.68 | 673 | $42,856.64 | $42,895.51 |
$-1,433.49 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $69.70 | 615 | $42,865.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $67.14 | 615 | $41,291.10 | $41,321.11 |
$-1,574.40 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $62.12 | 665 | $41,309.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.17 | 665 | $38,683.05 | $38,694.36 |
$-2,626.75 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.90 | 704 | $38,649.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $53.15 | 704 | $37,421.12 | $37,465.88 |
$-1,228.48 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $55.19 | 678 | $37,422.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $53.38 | 678 | $36,191.64 | $36,235.31 |
$-1,230.57 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $50.66 | 715 | $36,222.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $48.76 | 715 | $34,866.97 | $34,879.67 |
$-1,355.64 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $55.60 | 627 | $34,861.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $53.85 | 627 | $33,763.95 | $33,782.42 |
$-1,097.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.35 | 633 | $33,770.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.88 | 633 | $32,206.98 | $32,218.91 |
$-1,563.51 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $51.69 | 623 | $32,201.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:00pm ET | $50.09 | 623 | $31,206.07 | $31,223.54 |
$-995.37 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $53.02 | 588 | $31,175.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.02 | 588 | $32,939.76 | $32,987.54 |
+$1,764.00 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.06 | 672 | $32,968.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $51.84 | 672 | $34,836.55 | $34,855.77 |
+$1,868.23 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.78 | 660 | $34,834.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $51.07 | 660 | $33,706.20 | $33,727.17 |
$-1,128.60 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.00 | 648 | $33,696.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $54.64 | 648 | $35,406.72 | $35,437.89 |
+$1,710.72 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.12 | 654 | $35,395.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $52.22 | 654 | $34,155.15 | $34,198.04 |
$-1,239.85 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $46.65 | 733 | $34,194.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $44.44 | 733 | $32,570.86 | $32,574.44 |
$-1,623.60 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $43.26 | 752 | $32,531.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $45.51 | 752 | $34,223.52 | $34,266.44 |
+$1,692.00 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $52.27 | 655 | $34,236.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.12 | 655 | $30,863.60 | $30,893.25 |
$-3,373.19 (-9.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $53.42 | 578 | $30,876.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $56.46 | 578 | $32,633.88 | $32,650.31 |
+$1,757.06 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $82.11 | 397 | $32,597.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $86.31 | 397 | $34,264.99 | $34,317.63 |
+$1,667.32 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $92.64 | 370 | $34,276.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.35 | 370 | $36,387.65 | $36,428.48 |
+$2,110.85 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $112.62 | 323 | $36,376.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $108.45 | 323 | $35,029.32 | $35,081.54 |
$-1,346.94 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $124.78 | 281 | $35,063.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $119.17 | 281 | $33,486.77 | $33,505.13 |
$-1,576.41 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $109.36 | 306 | $33,465.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $105.15 | 306 | $32,176.54 | $32,215.98 |
$-1,289.15 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.47 | 263 | $32,209.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $129.14 | 263 | $33,963.82 | $33,970.69 |
+$1,754.71 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $127.76 | 265 | $33,856.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.62 | 265 | $35,938.72 | $36,053.01 |
+$2,082.32 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$36,053.01
Net Profit/Loss:
+$26,053.01
Total Return:
+260.53%