Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-15.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,282
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,859.82
Current Value
$7,552.77
Period P&L
$-1,307.07
Max Drawdown
-27.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+5.73%
Worst Trade
-10.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.87%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,871.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,307.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,307.07
Gross Return
-14.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,859.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $50.96 171 $8,714.09
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET $53.56 171 $9,158.76 $9,194.99 +$444.67
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $54.28 169 $9,173.32
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET $57.02 169 $9,636.38 $9,658.05 +$463.06
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $53.75 179 $9,621.25
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:35am ET $52.10 179 $9,325.90 $9,362.70 $-295.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET $51.79 180 $9,322.20
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $50.17 180 $9,030.60 $9,071.10 $-291.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:35am ET $49.43 183 $9,045.69
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $47.95 183 $8,773.94 $8,799.35 $-271.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $49.51 177 $8,762.39
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $47.84 177 $8,467.68 $8,504.64 $-294.71
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET $49.86 170 $8,476.22
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $48.25 170 $8,202.50 $8,230.92 $-273.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $51.21 160 $8,193.60
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET $49.66 160 $7,945.62 $7,982.94 $-247.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.29 155 $7,949.95
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.94 155 $8,360.70 $8,393.69 +$410.75
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $53.36 157 $8,377.52
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $56.42 157 $8,857.94 $8,874.11 +$480.42
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $55.55 159 $8,832.45
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $58.36 159 $9,279.24 $9,320.90 +$446.79
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $59.95 155 $9,292.25
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $57.79 155 $8,957.45 $8,986.10 $-334.80
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $56.15 160 $8,984.16
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.19 160 $8,030.56 $8,032.50 $-953.60
(-10.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $47.43 169 $8,015.67
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $46.00 169 $7,774.00 $7,790.83 $-241.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $43.92 177 $7,773.84
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.58 177 $7,535.78 $7,552.77 $-238.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,552.77
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,447.23
Total Return: -24.47%
Back to Danny Dip