Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:28:34

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 26.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 25.8

30-Day Momentum

1
-3.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,194
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,239.88
Current Value
$14,479.62
Period P&L
$-760.24
Max Drawdown
-32.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
7 / 12
Best Trade
+6.44%
Worst Trade
-4.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$524,873.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-760.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-760.24
Gross Return
-4.99%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $15,239.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET $478.17 31 $14,823.27
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:55am ET $462.73 31 $14,344.63 $14,471.06 $-478.64
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $439.93 32 $14,077.76
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $426.23 32 $13,639.36 $14,032.66 $-438.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $425.42 32 $13,613.47
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $447.95 32 $14,334.40 $14,753.59 +$720.93
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET $419.81 35 $14,693.35
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET $405.00 35 $14,175.00 $14,235.24 $-518.35
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $408.07 34 $13,874.38
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $394.74 34 $13,421.33 $13,782.19 $-453.05
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $390.52 35 $13,668.20
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:55am ET $411.71 35 $14,409.85 $14,523.84 +$741.65
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:50am ET $394.96 36 $14,218.56
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $381.09 36 $13,719.24 $14,024.52 $-499.32
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $372.52 37 $13,783.24
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $394.00 37 $14,578.00 $14,819.28 +$794.76
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $364.36 40 $14,574.40
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $353.20 40 $14,128.00 $14,372.88 $-446.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $364.39 39 $14,211.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $353.29 39 $13,778.31 $13,939.99 $-432.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $392.41 35 $13,734.35
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $373.69 35 $13,079.15 $13,284.79 $-655.20
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET $364.81 36 $13,133.16
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $384.08 36 $13,826.70 $13,978.33 +$693.54
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:00am ET $431.67 32 $13,813.44
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $414.86 32 $13,275.52 $13,440.41 $-537.92
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:00am ET $398.24 33 $13,141.92
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $422.87 33 $13,954.71 $14,253.20 +$812.79
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
15 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:25am ET $430.16 33 $14,195.28
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $416.86 33 $13,756.38 $13,814.30 $-438.90
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:25am ET $406.31 33 $13,408.23
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $393.97 33 $13,000.96 $13,407.03 $-407.27
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $401.68 33 $13,255.44
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $387.39 33 $12,784.03 $12,935.62 $-471.41
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $387.41 33 $12,784.53
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $412.36 33 $13,607.88 $13,758.97 +$823.35
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $390.50 35 $13,667.50
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:05am ET $411.09 35 $14,388.15 $14,479.62 +$720.65
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,479.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,479.62
Total Return: +44.80%
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