Compendium › Danny Dip › XLE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLE
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 4 trades in period

-5.24%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,460.41
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$11,039.37
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:59:43

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 67%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
7.9/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 23.8/100
× Confidence 0.67 = 15.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (67%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,505
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,039.37
Current Value
$10,460.41
Period P&L
$-578.95
Max Drawdown
-4.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.31%
Worst Trade
-4.24%
Avg Trade Return
-1.27%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$88,675.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-578.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-578.95
Gross Return
-5.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,039.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $58.02 190 $11,023.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $61.10 190 $11,609.00 $11,624.56 +$585.20
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $60.48 192 $11,612.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:15pm ET $58.58 192 $11,247.36 $11,259.76 $-364.80
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $56.80 198 $11,246.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $54.39 198 $10,769.62 $10,782.98 $-476.78
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
4 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.46 187 $10,745.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $55.74 187 $10,422.45 $10,460.41 $-322.57
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,460.41
Net Profit/Loss: +$460.41
Total Return: +4.60%
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