Compendium › Danny Dip › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-02-07 14:40:00+00 to 2026-05-06 15:00:00+00 • 20 trades executed

+9.92%
2 Years Return
$10,615.05
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$9,657.20
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:01

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 15.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 11.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,530
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
511 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,657.20
Current Value
$10,615.05
Total P&L
$957.85
Max Drawdown
-12.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+5.35%
Worst Trade
-4.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.63%
Avg Hold Time
6.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$353,561.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$957.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$957.85
Gross Return
+9.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 511 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,657.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2024 9:45am ET $302.47 31 $9,376.42 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2024 11:45am ET $317.64 31 $9,846.84 $10,127.63 +$470.43
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 11:35am ET $326.01 31 $10,106.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 9:35am ET $313.77 31 $9,726.87 $9,748.31 $-379.31
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2024 9:35am ET $321.20 30 $9,636.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2024 9:35am ET $316.35 30 $9,490.35 $9,602.66 $-145.65
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2024 2:15pm ET $307.05 31 $9,518.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 2:55pm ET $295.72 31 $9,167.32 $9,251.59 $-351.08
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 9:30am ET $294.20 31 $9,120.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 9:45am ET $283.29 31 $8,781.84 $8,913.22 $-338.36
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2024 9:30am ET $261.43 34 $8,888.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2024 2:45pm ET $274.88 34 $9,345.75 $9,370.35 +$457.13
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 9:45am ET $254.81 36 $9,172.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2024 9:40am ET $267.80 36 $9,640.80 $9,838.17 +$467.82
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET $312.05 31 $9,673.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2025 9:30am ET $305.00 31 $9,455.00 $9,619.62 $-218.55
(-2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 12:05pm ET $299.51 32 $9,584.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $286.73 32 $9,175.36 $9,210.66 $-408.96
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $272.57 33 $8,994.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $287.14 33 $9,475.62 $9,691.47 +$480.81
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2025 9:30am ET $273.00 35 $9,555.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2025 10:55am ET $286.73 35 $10,035.55 $10,172.02 +$480.55
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
12 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 10:05am ET $277.24 36 $9,980.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 1:55pm ET $268.81 36 $9,677.20 $9,868.59 $-303.44
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $267.76 36 $9,639.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $271.02 36 $9,756.54 $9,985.77 +$117.18
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 2:30pm ET $275.64 36 $9,923.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET $290.19 36 $10,446.84 $10,509.40 +$523.63
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET $287.70 36 $10,357.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:30am ET $297.85 36 $10,722.60 $10,874.81 +$365.41
(+3.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $322.60 33 $10,645.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET $339.20 33 $11,193.60 $11,422.69 +$547.88
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $373.96 30 $11,218.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $362.34 30 $10,870.20 $11,074.09 $-348.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $340.95 32 $10,910.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 32 $10,451.36 $10,615.05 $-459.04
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,615.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$615.05
Total Return: +6.15%
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