BIIB Danny Dip's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 14:00:00+00 • 32 trades executed
+20.48%
2 Years Return
$12,337.93
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$10,240.56
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
28.7/100
× Confidence 0.73
= 20.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
41,709
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
510 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,240.56
Current Value
$12,337.93
Total P&L
$2,097.36
Max Drawdown
-22.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
29
Winners / Losers
15 /
14
Best Trade
+5.61%
Worst Trade
-5.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$564,230.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,097.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,097.36
Gross Return
+20.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.48%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 510 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,240.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2024 9:45am ET | $229.61 | 44 | $10,102.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $220.95 | 44 | $9,721.80 | $9,859.74 |
$-380.82 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2024 10:05am ET | $212.03 | 46 | $9,753.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 31, 2024 10:15am ET | $223.65 | 46 | $10,287.76 | $10,394.12 |
+$534.38 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2024 10:40am ET | $227.81 | 45 | $10,251.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $215.50 | 45 | $9,697.50 | $9,840.17 |
$-553.95 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2024 9:55am ET | $207.95 | 47 | $9,773.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET | $200.30 | 47 | $9,414.10 | $9,480.62 |
$-359.55 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2024 10:55am ET | $178.07 | 53 | $9,437.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $170.76 | 53 | $9,050.28 | $9,093.46 |
$-387.17 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2024 11:10am ET | $168.42 | 53 | $8,926.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 15, 2024 10:00am ET | $162.83 | 53 | $8,629.99 | $8,797.32 |
$-296.14 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 13, 2024 10:00am ET | $150.98 | 58 | $8,756.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 9:45am ET | $145.66 | 58 | $8,448.28 | $8,488.76 |
$-308.56 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $130.28 | 65 | $8,468.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2025 11:20am ET | $136.82 | 65 | $8,892.98 | $8,913.53 |
+$424.78 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $149.01 | 59 | $8,791.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 10:05am ET | $143.90 | 59 | $8,490.10 | $8,612.12 |
$-301.42 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $135.53 | 63 | $8,538.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2025 11:45am ET | $130.97 | 63 | $8,250.95 | $8,324.40 |
$-287.71 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $127.74 | 65 | $8,303.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 12:55pm ET | $123.81 | 65 | $8,047.65 | $8,068.95 |
$-255.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 3:35pm ET | $113.47 | 71 | $8,056.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:30pm ET | $119.35 | 71 | $8,473.50 | $8,486.25 |
+$417.30 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $130.02 | 65 | $8,450.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $137.32 | 65 | $8,925.48 | $8,960.75 |
+$474.50 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 10:40am ET | $125.30 | 71 | $8,895.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2025 11:10am ET | $121.30 | 71 | $8,612.30 | $8,677.11 |
$-283.65 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 11:15am ET | $130.22 | 66 | $8,594.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $126.01 | 66 | $8,316.66 | $8,399.25 |
$-277.86 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 10:50am ET | $129.47 | 64 | $8,286.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $136.31 | 64 | $8,723.84 | $8,837.01 |
+$437.76 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 9:45am ET | $137.79 | 64 | $8,818.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 9:55am ET | $145.14 | 64 | $9,288.96 | $9,307.73 |
+$470.72 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 10:15am ET | $155.02 | 60 | $9,301.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 10:15am ET | $150.04 | 60 | $9,002.40 | $9,008.92 |
$-298.81 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 12:35pm ET | $142.00 | 63 | $8,946.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $149.52 | 63 | $9,419.76 | $9,482.68 |
+$473.76 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $142.91 | 66 | $9,432.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 10:55am ET | $150.17 | 66 | $9,911.22 | $9,961.84 |
+$479.16 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 10:25am ET | $150.19 | 66 | $9,912.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET | $157.70 | 66 | $10,408.20 | $10,457.50 |
+$495.66 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:55am ET | $152.25 | 68 | $10,353.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $159.92 | 68 | $10,874.56 | $10,979.06 |
+$521.56 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:05pm ET | $179.24 | 61 | $10,933.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 12:05pm ET | $181.34 | 61 | $11,061.74 | $11,107.16 |
+$128.10 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $172.72 | 64 | $11,054.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $175.72 | 64 | $11,246.08 | $11,299.16 |
+$192.00 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $174.20 | 64 | $11,148.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.35 | 64 | $11,734.40 | $11,884.76 |
+$585.60 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.66 | 68 | $11,740.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $167.17 | 68 | $11,367.22 | $11,511.10 |
$-373.66 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $190.49 | 60 | $11,429.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:35pm ET | $200.04 | 60 | $12,002.40 | $12,084.10 |
+$573.00 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $182.54 | 66 | $12,047.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $192.15 | 66 | $12,681.57 | $12,718.03 |
+$633.93 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.46 | 70 | $12,562.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $174.03 | 70 | $12,182.10 | $12,337.93 |
$-380.10 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,337.93
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,337.93
Total Return:
+23.38%