CRM Danny Dip's Analysis
2024-02-13 14:30:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 40 trades executed
-7.64%
2 Years Return
$8,927.60
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$9,665.60
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
4.2/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 3.5
30-Day Momentum
19
+4.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.1
Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
55,372
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,665.60
Current Value
$8,927.60
Total P&L
$-738.03
Max Drawdown
-27.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
37
Winners / Losers
15 /
22
Best Trade
+9.56%
Worst Trade
-17.15%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$617,832.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-738.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-738.03
Gross Return
-7.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.64%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,665.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 24, 2024 9:35am ET | $269.65 | 35 | $9,437.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $223.42 | 35 | $7,819.53 | $8,047.38 |
$-1,618.23 (-17.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2024 11:25am ET | $233.18 | 34 | $7,928.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2024 9:45am ET | $245.21 | 34 | $8,337.14 | $8,456.40 |
+$409.02 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $242.90 | 34 | $8,258.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $233.88 | 34 | $7,951.94 | $8,149.73 |
$-306.66 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2024 10:25am ET | $258.23 | 31 | $8,004.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2024 12:20pm ET | $250.37 | 31 | $7,761.32 | $7,906.07 |
$-243.66 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 20, 2024 11:00am ET | $261.81 | 30 | $7,854.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2024 10:35am ET | $275.84 | 30 | $8,275.20 | $8,326.97 |
+$420.90 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2024 10:00am ET | $331.67 | 25 | $8,291.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2024 11:45am ET | $321.67 | 25 | $8,041.75 | $8,076.97 |
$-250.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 27, 2024 9:50am ET | $332.09 | 24 | $7,970.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $363.84 | 24 | $8,732.12 | $8,838.94 |
+$761.96 (+9.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:25pm ET | $341.00 | 25 | $8,525.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $334.53 | 25 | $8,363.13 | $8,677.06 |
$-161.88 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $316.39 | 27 | $8,542.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2025 11:35am ET | $332.60 | 27 | $8,980.20 | $9,114.73 |
+$437.67 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2025 9:40am ET | $353.53 | 25 | $8,838.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 10:15am ET | $342.47 | 25 | $8,561.75 | $8,838.23 |
$-276.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $334.28 | 26 | $8,691.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2025 2:45pm ET | $324.21 | 26 | $8,429.46 | $8,576.41 |
$-261.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $298.86 | 28 | $8,368.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $289.55 | 28 | $8,107.26 | $8,315.59 |
$-260.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 7, 2025 11:20am ET | $279.15 | 29 | $8,095.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 11:55am ET | $270.52 | 29 | $7,844.94 | $8,065.18 |
$-250.42 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $262.00 | 30 | $7,860.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $247.43 | 30 | $7,422.90 | $7,628.08 |
$-437.10 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.04 | 32 | $7,553.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $248.23 | 32 | $7,943.36 | $8,018.16 |
+$390.08 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 3:45pm ET | $240.50 | 33 | $7,936.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $256.94 | 33 | $8,479.02 | $8,560.68 |
+$542.52 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $241.93 | 35 | $8,467.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 10:40am ET | $234.57 | 35 | $8,209.95 | $8,303.25 |
$-257.43 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $271.21 | 30 | $8,136.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $260.46 | 30 | $7,813.80 | $7,980.75 |
$-322.50 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:55am ET | $252.57 | 31 | $7,829.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 11:00am ET | $244.73 | 31 | $7,586.63 | $7,737.71 |
$-243.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.49 | 32 | $7,567.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 9:45am ET | $248.62 | 32 | $7,955.84 | $8,126.03 |
+$388.32 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET | $237.35 | 34 | $8,069.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:40pm ET | $249.34 | 34 | $8,477.60 | $8,533.73 |
+$407.70 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:50am ET | $246.41 | 34 | $8,377.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:15am ET | $258.74 | 34 | $8,796.99 | $8,952.78 |
+$419.05 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $246.23 | 36 | $8,864.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:30am ET | $238.44 | 36 | $8,583.89 | $8,672.57 |
$-280.21 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $227.25 | 38 | $8,635.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:50pm ET | $238.86 | 38 | $9,076.62 | $9,113.65 |
+$441.08 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $255.15 | 35 | $8,930.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:45am ET | $268.71 | 35 | $9,404.68 | $9,588.08 |
+$474.42 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $256.57 | 37 | $9,493.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $248.44 | 37 | $9,192.28 | $9,287.27 |
$-300.81 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $227.21 | 40 | $9,088.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.08 | 40 | $8,603.00 | $8,801.87 |
$-485.40 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.56 | 43 | $8,753.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:30am ET | $197.35 | 43 | $8,486.26 | $8,535.05 |
$-266.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $194.03 | 43 | $8,343.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $187.32 | 43 | $8,054.76 | $8,246.48 |
$-288.57 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $184.89 | 44 | $8,135.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $177.88 | 44 | $7,826.61 | $7,937.93 |
$-308.55 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.42 | 41 | $7,848.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $202.00 | 41 | $8,282.00 | $8,371.71 |
+$433.78 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $192.74 | 43 | $8,288.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $203.35 | 43 | $8,744.05 | $8,827.73 |
+$456.02 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.99 | 46 | $8,693.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $183.24 | 46 | $8,429.04 | $8,563.23 |
$-264.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $179.40 | 47 | $8,431.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.73 | 47 | $8,118.31 | $8,249.97 |
$-313.26 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $165.52 | 49 | $8,110.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.82 | 49 | $8,615.18 | $8,754.67 |
+$504.70 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.09 | 49 | $8,677.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $171.70 | 49 | $8,413.06 | $8,490.32 |
$-264.35 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $174.76 | 48 | $8,388.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $183.87 | 48 | $8,825.76 | $8,927.60 |
+$437.28 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,927.60
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,072.40
Total Return:
-10.72%