Compendium › Danny Dip › CVX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CVX
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-06-18 19:55:00+00 • 16 trades executed

-18.25%
2 Years Return
$8,252.66
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$10,094.97
Period Start
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PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-22 03:58:31

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 6.0/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 4.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,255
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-24 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
527 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,094.97
Current Value
$8,252.66
Total P&L
$-1,842.31
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.42

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
15
Winners / Losers
6 / 9
Best Trade
+5.01%
Worst Trade
-6.02%
Avg Trade Return
-1.29%
Avg Hold Time
7.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$268,809.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,842.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,842.31
Gross Return
-18.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 527 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,094.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2024 10:00am ET $156.05 64 $9,987.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $148.72 64 $9,518.08 $9,625.85 $-469.12
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $143.87 66 $9,495.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2024 9:30am ET $146.65 66 $9,678.90 $9,809.66 +$183.81
(+1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 6, 2024 10:25am ET $155.45 63 $9,793.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2024 11:35am ET $150.68 63 $9,492.84 $9,509.38 $-300.28
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2025 9:30am ET $151.65 62 $9,401.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET $156.19 62 $9,683.78 $9,791.17 +$281.79
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $160.18 61 $9,770.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $150.53 61 $9,182.33 $9,202.52 $-588.65
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $139.35 66 $9,197.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:40pm ET $135.07 66 $8,914.62 $8,920.04 $-282.48
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $141.84 62 $8,794.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 11:55am ET $137.31 62 $8,512.91 $8,638.87 $-281.17
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $134.56 64 $8,611.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $136.35 64 $8,726.08 $8,753.11 +$114.24
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
9 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:35am ET $137.67 63 $8,672.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:35am ET $137.89 63 $8,687.07 $8,767.28 +$14.17
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:25am ET $154.16 56 $8,632.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:25am ET $156.89 56 $8,785.84 $8,920.16 +$152.88
(+1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $205.86 43 $8,851.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:55am ET $199.39 43 $8,573.77 $8,641.95 $-278.21
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $191.37 45 $8,611.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $185.59 45 $8,351.33 $8,381.85 $-260.10
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $181.86 46 $8,365.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $190.97 46 $8,784.62 $8,800.91 +$419.06
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12d held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $185.77 47 $8,731.19 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:30am ET $179.72 47 $8,446.84 $8,516.56 $-284.35
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $178.90 47 $8,408.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET $173.29 47 $8,144.40 $8,252.66 $-263.90
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,252.66
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,747.34
Total Return: -17.47%
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