Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:38

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
2.3/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 8.8/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,447
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
514 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,088.30
Total P&L
$88.29
Max Drawdown
-8.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+5.61%
Worst Trade
-3.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
7.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$222,018.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$88.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$88.29
Gross Return
+0.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 514 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 23, 2024 9:30am ET $82.91 120 $9,949.20
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2024 9:30am ET $82.03 120 $9,843.00 $9,893.80 $-106.20
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2024 9:30am ET $85.07 116 $9,868.12
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2024 9:30am ET $85.78 116 $9,950.65 $9,976.33 +$82.53
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET $86.45 115 $9,941.75
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 10:50am ET $90.94 115 $10,458.10 $10,492.68 +$516.35
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 9:50am ET $90.93 115 $10,456.95
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2025 2:25pm ET $88.18 115 $10,140.70 $10,176.43 $-316.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:35am ET $85.86 118 $10,131.48
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 2:20pm ET $83.21 118 $9,818.40 $9,863.36 $-313.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
6 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 10:15am ET $84.85 116 $9,842.60
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 9:35am ET $82.25 116 $9,540.42 $9,561.18 $-302.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET $88.22 108 $9,527.22
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:40am ET $93.16 108 $10,061.28 $10,095.24 +$534.06
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:40am ET $92.14 109 $10,043.26
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:35am ET $96.80 109 $10,551.20 $10,603.18 +$507.94
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 10:55am ET $92.51 114 $10,545.57
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 9:40am ET $89.68 114 $10,223.52 $10,281.13 $-322.05
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $95.91 107 $10,262.37
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $97.18 107 $10,398.26 $10,417.02 +$135.89
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $92.82 112 $10,396.40
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $89.89 112 $10,067.68 $10,088.30 $-328.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,088.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$88.30
Total Return: +0.88%
Back to Danny Dip