MS Danny Dip's Analysis
2024-01-16 14:30:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 34 trades executed
+21.75%
2 Years Return
$12,991.21
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$10,670.46
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
29.3/100
× Confidence 0.74
= 21.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,267
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,670.46
Current Value
$12,991.21
Total P&L
$2,320.75
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
30
Winners / Losers
14 /
16
Best Trade
+9.53%
Worst Trade
-7.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.77%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$606,016.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,320.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,320.75
Gross Return
+21.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.75%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,670.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $97.88 | 109 | $10,668.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $92.00 | 109 | $10,028.00 | $10,029.54 |
$-640.92 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2024 10:20am ET | $100.42 | 99 | $9,941.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 6, 2024 11:15am ET | $97.40 | 99 | $9,642.60 | $9,731.05 |
$-298.49 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $129.22 | 75 | $9,691.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET | $126.92 | 75 | $9,519.00 | $9,558.55 |
$-172.50 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:10pm ET | $123.49 | 77 | $9,508.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $126.41 | 77 | $9,733.57 | $9,783.39 |
+$224.84 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $123.74 | 79 | $9,775.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $130.21 | 79 | $10,286.59 | $10,294.84 |
+$511.45 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $134.34 | 76 | $10,209.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2025 10:05am ET | $141.17 | 76 | $10,728.92 | $10,813.82 |
+$518.98 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $135.93 | 79 | $10,738.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 1:25pm ET | $131.84 | 79 | $10,414.97 | $10,490.32 |
$-323.51 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $124.30 | 84 | $10,441.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 10:55am ET | $120.26 | 84 | $10,101.84 | $10,150.96 |
$-339.36 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $120.35 | 84 | $10,108.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $116.41 | 84 | $9,778.44 | $9,820.42 |
$-330.54 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $113.54 | 86 | $9,764.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 2:05pm ET | $110.06 | 86 | $9,465.16 | $9,521.57 |
$-298.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $118.34 | 80 | $9,467.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 1:10pm ET | $114.66 | 80 | $9,172.80 | $9,227.17 |
$-294.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $109.86 | 83 | $9,118.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $101.15 | 83 | $8,395.24 | $8,504.03 |
$-723.14 (-7.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $95.83 | 88 | $8,433.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $102.78 | 88 | $9,044.64 | $9,115.63 |
+$611.60 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 11:20am ET | $102.85 | 88 | $9,050.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 3:10pm ET | $99.18 | 88 | $8,727.40 | $8,792.23 |
$-323.40 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $108.26 | 81 | $8,769.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET | $104.85 | 81 | $8,492.85 | $8,516.02 |
$-276.21 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $112.78 | 75 | $8,458.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $119.67 | 75 | $8,975.25 | $9,033.14 |
+$517.13 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 10:15am ET | $138.05 | 65 | $8,973.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $144.98 | 65 | $9,423.70 | $9,483.59 |
+$450.45 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $137.42 | 69 | $9,481.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $145.51 | 69 | $10,039.85 | $10,041.46 |
+$557.87 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $146.07 | 68 | $9,932.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 9:55am ET | $153.71 | 68 | $10,452.55 | $10,561.24 |
+$519.79 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 12:00pm ET | $152.89 | 69 | $10,549.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $164.76 | 69 | $11,368.44 | $11,380.62 |
+$819.38 (+7.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $160.46 | 70 | $11,232.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $155.46 | 70 | $10,881.85 | $11,030.27 |
$-350.35 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.51 | 59 | $10,886.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $178.66 | 59 | $10,540.94 | $10,685.11 |
$-345.16 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $174.99 | 61 | $10,674.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $183.77 | 61 | $11,210.27 | $11,221.00 |
+$535.88 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $170.26 | 65 | $11,066.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.02 | 65 | $10,726.30 | $10,880.40 |
$-340.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $169.77 | 64 | $10,865.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $164.58 | 64 | $10,533.12 | $10,547.92 |
$-332.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.52 | 64 | $10,401.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $155.88 | 64 | $9,976.00 | $10,122.64 |
$-425.28 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $155.32 | 65 | $10,095.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $163.15 | 65 | $10,604.43 | $10,631.26 |
+$508.62 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.64 | 69 | $10,601.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $161.69 | 69 | $11,156.61 | $11,186.71 |
+$555.45 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $159.26 | 70 | $11,148.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.99 | 70 | $11,829.23 | $11,867.74 |
+$681.03 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $161.57 | 73 | $11,794.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.96 | 73 | $12,918.08 | $12,991.21 |
+$1,123.47 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,991.21
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,991.21
Total Return:
+29.91%