Compendium › Danny Dip › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 8 trades executed

+11.20%
2 Years Return
$11,120.05
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 20%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
63.7/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
70.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
69.6/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.20 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (20%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,073
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,120.05
Total P&L
$1,120.05
Max Drawdown
-4.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+6.24%
Worst Trade
-4.63%
Avg Trade Return
+1.43%
Avg Hold Time
7.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$155,515.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,120.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,120.05
Gross Return
+11.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 10:10am ET $444.73 22 $9,784.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $427.61 22 $9,407.42 $9,623.36 $-376.64
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET $517.79 18 $9,320.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET $512.43 18 $9,223.74 $9,526.88 $-96.48
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $513.67 18 $9,246.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET $526.98 18 $9,485.58 $9,766.40 +$239.52
(+2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 10:30am ET $477.54 20 $9,550.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 10:30am ET $489.50 20 $9,790.00 $10,005.60 +$239.20
(+2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $459.53 21 $9,650.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $438.27 21 $9,203.68 $9,559.15 $-446.45
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $408.02 23 $9,384.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $433.49 23 $9,970.27 $10,144.96 +$585.81
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
42m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $422.61 24 $10,142.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $443.88 24 $10,653.12 $10,655.44 +$510.48
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:05pm ET $595.27 17 $10,119.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:05pm ET $622.60 17 $10,584.20 $11,120.05 +$464.61
(+4.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,120.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,120.05
Total Return: +11.20%
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