SLV Danny Dip's Analysis
2024-01-03 15:15:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 49 trades executed
+104.70%
2 Years Return
$21,115.94
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$10,315.50
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
57
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
27.7/35
Total Return
17.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
7.1/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality
65.8/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 56.6
30-Day Momentum
57
+17.7%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
3.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.7
Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,202
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,315.50
Current Value
$21,115.94
Total P&L
$10,800.42
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
45
Winners / Losers
26 /
19
Best Trade
+9.72%
Worst Trade
-4.88%
Avg Trade Return
+1.79%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,227,643.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,800.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,800.42
Gross Return
+104.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+104.70%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,315.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2024 10:35am ET | $24.08 | 414 | $9,967.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $25.37 | 414 | $10,503.18 | $10,512.15 |
+$536.13 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 31, 2024 11:20am ET | $27.86 | 377 | $10,503.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2024 9:40am ET | $26.96 | 377 | $10,163.92 | $10,172.85 |
$-339.30 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 7, 2024 9:30am ET | $27.08 | 375 | $10,155.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2024 11:50am ET | $26.26 | 375 | $9,847.50 | $9,865.35 |
$-307.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2024 9:50am ET | $27.13 | 363 | $9,846.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $26.16 | 363 | $9,496.08 | $9,515.05 |
$-350.30 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2024 10:55am ET | $27.71 | 343 | $9,504.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $26.48 | 343 | $9,082.64 | $9,093.16 |
$-421.89 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $25.24 | 360 | $9,084.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $26.52 | 360 | $9,547.16 | $9,555.72 |
+$462.56 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 11:05am ET | $25.63 | 372 | $9,534.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $24.60 | 372 | $9,149.34 | $9,170.70 |
$-385.02 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2024 9:45am ET | $25.50 | 359 | $9,154.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2024 10:15am ET | $26.78 | 359 | $9,614.02 | $9,630.22 |
+$459.52 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2024 3:05pm ET | $27.47 | 350 | $9,612.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2024 11:25am ET | $28.89 | 350 | $10,109.75 | $10,127.22 |
+$497.00 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2024 10:20am ET | $28.02 | 361 | $10,113.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $29.51 | 361 | $10,653.11 | $10,666.92 |
+$539.70 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2024 10:10am ET | $30.67 | 347 | $10,640.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 10:35am ET | $29.72 | 347 | $10,312.84 | $10,339.00 |
$-327.92 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $28.12 | 367 | $10,320.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $28.37 | 367 | $10,411.79 | $10,430.75 |
+$91.75 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 9:40am ET | $27.61 | 377 | $10,407.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $29.21 | 377 | $11,012.17 | $11,035.84 |
+$605.09 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2024 10:40am ET | $28.14 | 392 | $11,030.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 2:05pm ET | $27.21 | 392 | $10,666.32 | $10,671.28 |
$-364.56 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.98 | 368 | $10,662.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.86 | 368 | $10,251.93 | $10,260.41 |
$-410.87 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $42.09 | 243 | $10,227.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $44.21 | 243 | $10,741.82 | $10,774.35 |
+$513.94 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 12:30pm ET | $44.08 | 244 | $10,755.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.81 | 244 | $11,421.64 | $11,440.47 |
+$666.12 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.83 | 249 | $11,411.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 2:55pm ET | $48.14 | 249 | $11,986.88 | $12,015.69 |
+$575.21 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $47.20 | 254 | $11,988.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.90 | 254 | $11,403.33 | $11,430.22 |
$-585.47 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:40am ET | $42.71 | 267 | $11,403.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.06 | 267 | $12,029.69 | $12,056.15 |
+$625.93 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.55 | 264 | $12,023.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:55am ET | $47.83 | 264 | $12,627.12 | $12,659.39 |
+$603.24 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:55am ET | $51.46 | 246 | $12,659.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:25am ET | $54.11 | 246 | $13,311.33 | $13,311.56 |
+$652.17 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $56.55 | 235 | $13,290.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $59.46 | 235 | $13,973.10 | $13,994.37 |
+$682.82 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $65.99 | 212 | $13,988.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 11:55am ET | $69.84 | 212 | $14,806.08 | $14,811.63 |
+$817.26 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $64.98 | 227 | $14,750.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.16 | 227 | $15,699.32 | $15,760.49 |
+$948.86 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.07 | 224 | $15,696.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.43 | 224 | $15,104.77 | $15,168.80 |
$-591.70 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.37 | 186 | $15,134.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.55 | 186 | $15,911.37 | $15,945.35 |
+$776.55 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $102.27 | 155 | $15,851.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $98.82 | 155 | $15,317.10 | $15,410.60 |
$-534.75 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $100.61 | 153 | $15,392.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:40pm ET | $105.85 | 153 | $16,195.05 | $16,213.08 |
+$802.48 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.28 | 177 | $16,156.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $88.54 | 177 | $15,670.70 | $15,727.22 |
$-485.87 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $72.00 | 218 | $15,696.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $69.46 | 218 | $15,142.28 | $15,173.47 |
$-553.74 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:05pm ET | $77.72 | 195 | $15,156.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $75.31 | 195 | $14,685.45 | $14,702.55 |
$-470.93 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.38 | 218 | $14,688.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.40 | 218 | $16,002.29 | $16,015.98 |
+$1,313.43 (+8.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.22 | 238 | $15,998.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $70.64 | 238 | $16,812.18 | $16,829.80 |
+$813.82 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.29 | 214 | $16,754.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.13 | 214 | $17,789.82 | $17,865.56 |
+$1,035.76 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.32 | 219 | $17,809.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $78.86 | 219 | $17,270.34 | $17,326.82 |
$-538.74 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.66 | 223 | $17,318.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $74.69 | 223 | $16,655.87 | $16,664.51 |
$-662.31 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $71.13 | 234 | $16,644.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $68.97 | 234 | $16,138.98 | $16,159.07 |
$-505.44 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $63.44 | 254 | $16,113.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $61.52 | 254 | $15,626.08 | $15,671.42 |
$-487.65 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $61.37 | 255 | $15,648.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.14 | 255 | $16,865.70 | $16,889.04 |
+$1,217.62 (+7.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.04 | 272 | $16,875.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.91 | 272 | $17,927.52 | $17,941.41 |
+$1,052.37 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.62 | 281 | $17,878.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.81 | 281 | $19,616.61 | $19,679.96 |
+$1,738.55 (+9.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $67.04 | 293 | $19,644.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.61 | 293 | $20,688.73 | $20,724.51 |
+$1,044.55 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $69.79 | 296 | $20,659.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $67.69 | 296 | $20,036.36 | $20,101.55 |
$-622.96 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.68 | 306 | $20,098.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $69.00 | 306 | $21,112.47 | $21,115.94 |
+$1,014.39 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$21,115.94
Net Profit/Loss:
+$11,115.94
Total Return:
+111.16%