Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:17:01

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
5.1/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 16.3/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 10.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
63,145
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,382.56
Current Value
$10,307.96
Total P&L
$925.40
Max Drawdown
-6.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+6.55%
Worst Trade
-3.76%
Avg Trade Return
+1.03%
Avg Hold Time
7.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$210,321.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$925.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$925.40
Gross Return
+9.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,382.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2024 9:30am ET $39.25 239 $9,380.75
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $41.82 239 $9,994.98 $9,996.79 +$614.23
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2024 1:45pm ET $41.61 240 $9,985.20
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2024 3:55pm ET $43.75 240 $10,500.00 $10,511.59 +$514.80
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2024 9:30am ET $41.05 256 $10,508.80
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2024 9:30am ET $41.07 256 $10,513.54 $10,516.33 +$4.74
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 10:20am ET $37.75 278 $10,494.50
🔴 SELL Jan 24, 2025 9:30am ET $40.00 278 $11,120.00 $11,141.83 +$625.50
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET $43.30 257 $11,128.10
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 9:35am ET $41.67 257 $10,709.19 $10,722.92 $-418.91
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 11:10am ET $44.29 242 $10,718.18
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 2:35pm ET $42.94 242 $10,391.48 $10,396.22 $-326.70
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 10:35am ET $41.55 250 $10,386.25
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $43.63 250 $10,907.50 $10,917.47 +$521.25
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:55am ET $42.56 256 $10,895.36
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 9:45am ET $41.23 256 $10,553.60 $10,575.71 $-341.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $39.08 270 $10,551.60
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $39.38 270 $10,632.60 $10,656.71 +$81.00
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $47.33 225 $10,649.25
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $45.78 225 $10,300.50 $10,307.96 $-348.75
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,307.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$307.96
Total Return: +3.08%
Back to Danny Dip