Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,197
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,995.29
Current Value
$6,979.78
Period P&L
$-1,083.28
Max Drawdown
-38.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+5.73%
Worst Trade
-3.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$220,787.80
Estimated Fees
$551.97
Gross P&L
$-1,083.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,635.25
Gross Return
-13.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.45%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,995.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:10pm ET $92,432.30 0 $7,995.27
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $89,568.00 0 $7,747.51 $7,708.15 $-287.11
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $87,354.00 0 $7,708.15
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $84,467.75 0 $7,453.47 $7,415.56 $-292.59
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET $84,491.00 0 $7,415.56
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET $81,899.82 0 $7,188.14 $7,151.63 $-263.93
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 8:45pm ET $81,877.98 0 $7,151.63
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 12:05pm ET $79,357.65 0 $6,931.50 $6,896.29 $-255.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $78,722.21 0 $6,896.29
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 6:05pm ET $75,923.85 0 $6,651.14 $6,617.27 $-279.01
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 10:25pm ET $75,030.00 0 $6,617.27
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET $79,006.64 0 $6,967.99 $6,934.03 +$316.76
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $75,620.02 0 $6,934.03
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $73,208.30 0 $6,712.89 $6,678.77 $-255.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $73,097.99 0 $6,678.77
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 4:00pm ET $76,839.74 0 $7,020.64 $6,986.40 +$307.63
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $67,872.75 0 $6,986.40
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $65,677.00 0 $6,760.38 $6,726.01 $-260.38
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $65,890.21 0 $6,726.01
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $63,743.50 0 $6,506.88 $6,473.79 $-252.22
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $63,623.00 0 $6,473.79
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $61,345.00 0 $6,242.00 $6,210.21 $-263.58
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $60,285.00 0 $6,210.21
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:50pm ET $63,737.88 0 $6,565.91 $6,533.97 +$323.76
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
42m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $64,680.80 0 $6,533.97
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $67,982.79 0 $6,867.53 $6,834.03 +$300.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 1:55am ET $68,749.00 0 $6,834.03
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET $69,280.40 0 $6,886.85 $6,852.55 +$18.52
(+0.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $65,480.00 0 $6,852.55
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:50pm ET $63,502.70 0 $6,645.62 $6,645.62 $-240.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:55am ET $63,403.80 0 $6,645.62
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $66,591.90 0 $6,979.78 $6,979.78 +$300.09
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,979.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,020.22
Total Return: -30.20%
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