Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:16:25

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 6.1/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-10.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,492
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,011.05
Current Value
$9,738.17
Period P&L
$727.12
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+6.14%
Worst Trade
-4.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.87%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$199,766.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$727.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$727.12
Gross Return
+8.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,011.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $98.18 91 $8,933.93
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:10pm ET $94.97 91 $8,642.27 $8,719.39 $-291.66
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:45am ET $95.98 90 $8,638.20
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $100.91 90 $9,081.90 $9,163.09 +$443.70
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:55am ET $100.65 91 $9,159.15
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $106.82 91 $9,721.07 $9,725.01 +$561.92
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $104.54 93 $9,722.22
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $108.65 93 $10,104.45 $10,107.24 +$382.23
(+3.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $108.18 93 $10,060.74
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:45am ET $113.59 93 $10,563.87 $10,610.37 +$503.13
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $123.13 86 $10,589.18
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $129.64 86 $11,149.04 $11,170.23 +$559.86
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $130.82 85 $11,120.12
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $126.79 85 $10,777.15 $10,827.26 $-342.97
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 88 $10,802.88
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $118.95 88 $10,467.60 $10,491.98 $-335.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $115.88 90 $10,429.20
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:45am ET $112.32 90 $10,108.35 $10,171.13 $-320.85
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $122.73 82 $10,063.86
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $117.45 82 $9,630.90 $9,738.17 $-432.96
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,738.17
Net Profit/Loss: $-261.83
Total Return: -2.62%
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