Compendium › Danny Dip › CRWD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRWD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 14 trades in period

-16.44%
Year to Date Return
$9,185.34
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$10,992.90
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:13:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,138
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,992.90
Current Value
$9,185.34
Period P&L
$-1,807.55
Max Drawdown
-28.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
4 / 10
Best Trade
+5.63%
Worst Trade
-6.17%
Avg Trade Return
-1.22%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$287,217.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,807.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,807.55
Gross Return
-16.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,992.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET $454.60 24 $10,910.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:45am ET $480.20 24 $11,524.80 $11,607.30 +$614.40
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:50am ET $465.67 24 $11,176.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $450.95 24 $10,822.80 $11,254.02 $-353.28
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $442.32 25 $11,058.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET $464.95 25 $11,623.63 $11,819.64 +$565.63
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $447.43 26 $11,633.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET $433.86 26 $11,280.36 $11,466.95 $-352.69
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
36m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $424.29 27 $11,455.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $410.00 27 $11,070.00 $11,081.12 $-385.83
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $399.01 27 $10,773.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $386.17 27 $10,426.59 $10,734.47 $-346.65
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $418.00 25 $10,450.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET $404.98 25 $10,124.62 $10,409.09 $-325.38
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $413.28 25 $10,332.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $397.75 25 $9,943.75 $10,020.84 $-388.25
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $368.35 27 $9,945.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET $387.15 27 $10,453.08 $10,528.47 +$507.63
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET $436.11 24 $10,466.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $416.44 24 $9,994.56 $10,056.27 $-472.20
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $394.80 25 $9,870.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $370.43 25 $9,260.75 $9,447.02 $-609.25
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $433.88 21 $9,111.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $415.58 21 $8,727.28 $9,062.82 $-384.20
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $382.79 23 $8,804.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET $369.45 23 $8,497.24 $8,755.94 $-306.88
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $448.74 19 $8,526.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:50am ET $471.34 19 $8,955.46 $9,185.34 +$429.40
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,185.34
Net Profit/Loss: $-814.66
Total Return: -8.15%
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