Compendium › Danny Dip › GILD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GILD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 3 trades in period

+1.52%
Year to Date Return
$10,237.55
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,084.00
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:26

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
4.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 6.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,046
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
88 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,084.00
Current Value
$10,237.55
Period P&L
$153.54
Max Drawdown
-12.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.57%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
7.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$62,116.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$153.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$153.54
Gross Return
+1.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 88 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,084.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:55am ET $117.95 85 $10,025.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET $124.52 85 $10,584.20 $10,642.46 +$558.45
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $145.81 72 $10,498.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET $144.80 72 $10,425.61 $10,569.75 $-72.71
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $132.37 79 $10,457.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:35am ET $128.16 79 $10,125.03 $10,237.55 $-332.20
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,237.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$237.55
Total Return: +2.38%
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