Compendium › Danny Dip › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-2.42%
Year to Date Return
$9,189.04
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$9,416.66
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,306
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,416.66
Current Value
$9,189.04
Period P&L
$-227.62
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.04%
Worst Trade
-3.17%
Avg Trade Return
-0.57%
Avg Hold Time
7.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$74,621.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-227.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-227.62
Gross Return
-2.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,416.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:15am ET $370.80 25 $9,270.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $389.50 25 $9,737.50 $9,884.16 +$467.50
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:05am ET $373.45 26 $9,709.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $361.62 26 $9,402.12 $9,576.45 $-307.71
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $347.80 27 $9,390.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET $337.22 27 $9,104.94 $9,290.79 $-285.66
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $323.35 28 $9,053.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $319.72 28 $8,952.16 $9,189.04 $-101.75
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,189.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-810.96
Total Return: -8.11%
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