HOOD Danny Dip's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 32 trades in period
-17.94%
Year to Date Return
$18,305.56
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$22,307.65
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality
28.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 27.9
30-Day Momentum
34
+11.0%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.8
Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,717
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$22,307.65
Current Value
$18,305.56
Period P&L
$-4,002.16
Max Drawdown
-37.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
11 /
21
Best Trade
+7.73%
Worst Trade
-11.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,192,204.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,002.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,002.16
Gross Return
-17.94%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.94%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $22,307.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $118.17 | 188 | $22,215.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $114.58 | 188 | $21,541.04 | $21,632.79 |
$-674.92 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $115.61 | 187 | $21,619.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:05pm ET | $111.90 | 187 | $20,925.39 | $20,939.11 |
$-693.68 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.79 | 197 | $20,840.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $102.42 | 197 | $20,176.74 | $20,275.20 |
$-663.91 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $93.50 | 216 | $20,196.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $90.64 | 216 | $19,578.56 | $19,657.77 |
$-617.44 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.66 | 237 | $19,590.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $79.85 | 237 | $18,923.38 | $18,990.64 |
$-667.13 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $74.44 | 255 | $18,983.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.20 | 255 | $20,451.00 | $20,458.16 |
+$1,467.52 (+7.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.80 | 266 | $20,428.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $74.45 | 266 | $19,803.70 | $19,833.06 |
$-625.10 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $73.50 | 269 | $19,771.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.18 | 269 | $20,762.76 | $20,824.32 |
+$991.26 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $72.68 | 286 | $20,787.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $69.57 | 286 | $19,896.79 | $19,933.77 |
$-890.55 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.98 | 258 | $19,860.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.49 | 258 | $18,959.13 | $19,032.06 |
$-901.71 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.19 | 256 | $18,992.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.73 | 256 | $20,410.88 | $20,450.30 |
+$1,418.24 (+7.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $80.99 | 252 | $20,409.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.99 | 252 | $19,653.48 | $19,694.30 |
$-756.00 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $76.22 | 258 | $19,666.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $73.91 | 258 | $19,068.73 | $19,096.98 |
$-597.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.28 | 264 | $19,081.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $70.08 | 264 | $18,501.86 | $18,516.92 |
$-580.06 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $70.91 | 261 | $18,507.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.74 | 261 | $17,941.14 | $17,950.55 |
$-566.37 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $65.07 | 275 | $17,895.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET | $68.46 | 275 | $18,826.47 | $18,881.40 |
+$930.85 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.19 | 280 | $18,814.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $70.58 | 280 | $19,763.80 | $19,830.88 |
+$949.48 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $73.46 | 269 | $19,759.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $69.95 | 269 | $18,816.55 | $18,888.03 |
$-942.85 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $85.03 | 222 | $18,875.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.10 | 222 | $20,002.20 | $20,014.68 |
+$1,126.65 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $89.20 | 224 | $19,980.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $86.38 | 224 | $19,349.12 | $19,383.00 |
$-631.68 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $85.58 | 226 | $19,340.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $83.00 | 226 | $18,758.00 | $18,800.71 |
$-582.29 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.47 | 230 | $18,738.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.15 | 230 | $16,593.97 | $16,656.58 |
$-2,144.13 (-11.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $78.24 | 212 | $16,586.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $75.72 | 212 | $16,052.64 | $16,122.34 |
$-534.24 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.85 | 207 | $16,114.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $75.15 | 207 | $15,556.05 | $15,563.44 |
$-558.90 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $73.56 | 211 | $15,520.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.75 | 211 | $16,405.25 | $16,448.58 |
+$885.14 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:20am ET | $86.11 | 191 | $16,446.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $90.68 | 191 | $17,319.88 | $17,321.98 |
+$873.40 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.68 | 195 | $17,291.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.11 | 195 | $16,596.45 | $16,626.80 |
$-695.18 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $84.93 | 195 | $16,560.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $82.22 | 195 | $16,033.87 | $16,100.30 |
$-526.50 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $84.44 | 190 | $16,043.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $81.89 | 190 | $15,559.39 | $15,616.08 |
$-484.22 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $87.61 | 178 | $15,594.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $92.20 | 178 | $16,411.60 | $16,433.10 |
+$817.02 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $96.21 | 170 | $16,356.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $101.18 | 170 | $17,199.75 | $17,276.30 |
+$843.20 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $105.07 | 164 | $17,232.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $111.35 | 164 | $18,261.40 | $18,305.56 |
+$1,029.26 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$18,305.56
Net Profit/Loss:
+$8,305.56
Total Return:
+83.06%