Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:26:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,185
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$3,962.75
Current Value
$3,371.31
Period P&L
$-675.77
Max Drawdown
-84.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
8 / 13
Best Trade
+5.62%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$143,839.99
Estimated Fees
$359.60
Gross P&L
$-675.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,035.37
Gross Return
-17.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-26.13%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $3,962.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:35pm ET $73.40 54 $3,962.82
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $69.91 54 $3,774.40 $3,755.06 $-207.77
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET $69.46 54 $3,755.06
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $67.35 54 $3,640.99 $3,622.50 $-132.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $66.58 54 $3,622.50
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 5:25am ET $70.20 54 $3,819.46 $3,800.85 +$178.35
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 25, 2026 12:20pm ET $67.32 56 $3,800.85
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $65.28 56 $3,685.67 $3,666.96 $-133.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET $65.47 56 $3,666.96
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:30am ET $63.50 56 $3,556.62 $3,538.56 $-128.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET $60.05 59 $3,538.56
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $57.99 59 $3,417.17 $3,399.78 $-138.78
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:15pm ET $58.36 58 $3,399.78
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 10:35pm ET $56.54 58 $3,293.76 $3,277.02 $-122.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 10:40pm ET $56.76 58 $3,277.02
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 7:25am ET $59.67 58 $3,444.74 $3,427.94 +$150.91
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $57.75 59 $3,427.94
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $60.89 59 $3,614.32 $3,596.72 +$168.78
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:10am ET $56.28 64 $3,596.72
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $54.58 64 $3,488.07 $3,470.36 $-126.35
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET $54.83 63 $3,470.36
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $52.97 63 $3,352.64 $3,335.58 $-134.78
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $53.64 62 $3,335.58
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $51.43 62 $3,198.15 $3,181.82 $-153.76
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $51.04 62 $3,181.82
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $47.06 62 $2,933.70 $2,918.42 $-263.40
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $46.18 63 $2,918.42
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET $48.66 63 $3,075.14 $3,060.16 +$141.74
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $49.65 62 $3,060.16
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $52.44 62 $3,232.12 $3,216.39 +$156.23
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $50.61 64 $3,216.39
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 8:15am ET $53.18 64 $3,379.72 $3,363.23 +$146.84
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $53.28 63 $3,363.23
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 8:50am ET $51.66 63 $3,261.21 $3,261.21 $-118.58
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $51.77 63 $3,261.21
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 7:50am ET $54.50 63 $3,433.18 $3,433.18 +$155.24
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:35pm ET $56.62 61 $3,433.18
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $54.62 61 $3,311.91 $3,311.91 $-138.13
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET $52.96 63 $3,311.91
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:45am ET $55.61 63 $3,477.63 $3,477.63 +$148.75
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 8:35am ET $55.93 62 $3,477.63
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET $54.22 62 $3,371.31 $3,371.31 $-123.45
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,371.31
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,628.69
Total Return: -66.29%
Back to Danny Dip