RIOT Danny Dip's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 35 trades in period
+7.75%
Year to Date Return
$4,688.39
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$4,351.05
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
4.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 4.8
30-Day Momentum
9
+0.7%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 11.0
Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,848
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$4,351.05
Current Value
$4,688.39
Period P&L
$337.34
Max Drawdown
-63.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
15 /
20
Best Trade
+6.53%
Worst Trade
-5.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
23.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$340,055.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$337.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$337.34
Gross Return
+7.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.75%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,351.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $12.70 | 345 | $4,381.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $13.37 | 345 | $4,610.93 | $4,611.52 |
+$229.43 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $14.65 | 314 | $4,600.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $15.45 | 314 | $4,849.73 | $4,861.15 |
+$249.63 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $17.27 | 281 | $4,851.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $16.65 | 281 | $4,678.65 | $4,688.34 |
$-172.82 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $18.20 | 257 | $4,677.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $19.21 | 257 | $4,936.97 | $4,947.91 |
+$259.57 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:20am ET | $17.88 | 276 | $4,934.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $17.24 | 276 | $4,756.86 | $4,770.00 |
$-177.91 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $16.57 | 287 | $4,754.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $17.40 | 287 | $4,993.80 | $5,009.64 |
+$239.64 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
54m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $16.69 | 300 | $5,005.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:00pm ET | $17.55 | 300 | $5,263.50 | $5,267.64 |
+$258.00 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.98 | 310 | $5,263.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $16.44 | 310 | $5,094.85 | $5,098.69 |
$-168.95 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $15.79 | 322 | $5,084.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $15.31 | 322 | $4,928.21 | $4,942.52 |
$-156.17 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $15.21 | 324 | $4,928.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $16.05 | 324 | $5,200.20 | $5,214.68 |
+$272.16 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $13.90 | 375 | $5,212.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $13.23 | 375 | $4,959.38 | $4,961.56 |
$-253.12 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.01 | 354 | $4,959.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $14.77 | 354 | $5,227.23 | $5,229.25 |
+$267.69 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.76 | 354 | $5,225.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $14.16 | 354 | $5,012.64 | $5,016.14 |
$-213.11 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $15.38 | 326 | $5,013.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $16.17 | 326 | $5,273.05 | $5,275.31 |
+$259.17 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.17 | 347 | $5,263.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $16.16 | 347 | $5,607.97 | $5,619.29 |
+$343.98 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $16.84 | 333 | $5,607.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $16.32 | 333 | $5,432.90 | $5,444.47 |
$-174.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $16.24 | 335 | $5,441.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.36 | 335 | $5,145.60 | $5,148.43 |
$-296.04 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:10am ET | $16.43 | 313 | $5,142.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $15.93 | 313 | $4,986.09 | $4,991.90 |
$-156.53 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $14.34 | 348 | $4,988.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.74 | 348 | $4,781.52 | $4,784.46 |
$-207.44 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $14.81 | 322 | $4,770.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.31 | 322 | $4,607.82 | $4,621.85 |
$-162.61 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $14.98 | 308 | $4,615.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 12:15pm ET | $14.52 | 308 | $4,471.08 | $4,477.55 |
$-144.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.47 | 309 | $4,469.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 11:20am ET | $14.02 | 309 | $4,333.72 | $4,341.59 |
$-135.96 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $13.81 | 314 | $4,336.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $13.38 | 314 | $4,199.75 | $4,205.00 |
$-136.59 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $14.17 | 296 | $4,194.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.98 | 296 | $4,434.08 | $4,444.76 |
+$239.76 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.59 | 304 | $4,435.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET | $14.15 | 304 | $4,300.08 | $4,309.48 |
$-135.28 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $12.91 | 333 | $4,299.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $12.47 | 333 | $4,150.85 | $4,161.30 |
$-148.18 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $11.57 | 359 | $4,153.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $12.31 | 359 | $4,419.29 | $4,427.07 |
+$265.77 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.94 | 370 | $4,417.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $12.56 | 370 | $4,649.05 | $4,658.32 |
+$231.25 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $15.78 | 295 | $4,656.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $16.73 | 295 | $4,935.35 | $4,937.09 |
+$278.77 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.32 | 302 | $4,927.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $17.18 | 302 | $5,188.33 | $5,198.29 |
+$261.20 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.58 | 295 | $5,186.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $16.94 | 295 | $4,998.77 | $5,010.96 |
$-187.33 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $17.78 | 281 | $4,996.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $18.67 | 281 | $5,246.24 | $5,261.02 |
+$250.06 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $18.30 | 287 | $5,252.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.40 | 287 | $4,993.80 | $5,002.72 |
$-258.30 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $16.14 | 309 | $4,987.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $15.64 | 309 | $4,832.76 | $4,847.73 |
$-154.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:55am ET | $18.83 | 257 | $4,839.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $18.21 | 257 | $4,679.97 | $4,688.39 |
$-159.34 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,688.39
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,311.61
Total Return:
-53.12%